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Italy “is a country of scenario 3 (with Rt above 1.5, ed) “. This was stated by the president of the Higher Institute of Health, Silvio Brusaferro, at today’s press conference on the epidemiological trend of Covid-19. “We are at a Rt of 1.7, with a confidence interval of 1.5”. A Rt that “has shown a slowdown in its growth but to reduce the cases we have to bring the Rt below 1”. All regions are above Rt 1, in some cases 2, Brusaferro said.
Covid, Locatelli (Iss): “Rt stable, there is a slowdown as a result of the measures taken”
Concept reaffirmed by Franco Locatelli, President of the Higher Health Council: “The Rt index seems stable, so the marked acceleration has disappeared and there is a deceleration, a result of the measures implemented,” said Locatelli. “This should be read positively and we hope and hope, as the days go by, that the data will improve even more.” These are the main topics discussed by Brusaferro during the meeting.
The 4 regions at risk
“Based on the latest monitoring, there are four regions that are heading toward high risk and where the most restrictive measures should be anticipated.” It was previously noted that two regions have a bed occupancy of more than 30%, two to 29%. Regarding Campania: “We believe that the Campania data is valid, but research is being carried out to capture aspects that could complete an analysis that is underway.” Therefore, the data show that there are important differences between the regions, but the whole of our country “exceeds the risk threshold”. The president of the Institute always refers to Campania but also to Friuli, Emilia-Romagna and Veneto, that is, Regions that have a high Rt, higher than 1.5, which places them in the most worrying scenario, number 4. However, keeping them still yellow is the other factor that is analyzed, which is the risk, which is now moderate. For all of them, however, it is growing and this worries the control room.
Regions
Covid, Campania changes color: towards orange or red, but only in Naples and Caserta. And the ambulance case explodes
by Dario del Porto, Conchita Sannino
Calabria
“The citizens of Calabria can show that they return the curve to values that allow them to lower the restrictions. But compared to the appointment of Zuccatelli, you are asking the wrong people.”
The incidence
“The incidence is high: 524 cases per 100 thousand inhabitants in the surveillance period that collected data a few days ago. There are differences between regions but our country widely exceeds the threshold set at the EU level ”.
The age of infections
“Unfortunately, middle age is growing slightly, slowly approaching 50 years. And at the same time, the age above 70 begins to have an increasing number of cases ”. 50-60% of the positives are asymptomatic.
Covid, Brusaferro (Iss): “Curva is growing rapidly: hospitalizations and intensive care close to a critical level”
Intensive therapy
“In some regions the critical threshold for hospital occupancy has been exceeded and there is a high probability throughout Italy of saturation in one month for intensive care. So the alert is there and we cannot afford to take the situation lightly.”
