«Very serious situation. Multiple regions on stage four “



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Covid, monitoring Iss, says the epidemic in Italy is clearly getting worse

The epidemic in Italy is rapidly getting worse. In most of the national territory it is compatible with a scenario of type 3 but the number of Regions / APs where the baud rate is already supported is increasing a stage 4. Therefore, a generalized and generalized situation is confirmed as very serious throughout the national territory with criticisms now evident in numerous Italian regions / PAs. The weekly report from October 26 to November 1 of the monitoring phase 2 of the Ministry of Health, updated to November 9, captures an increasingly critical general situation. Due to the time that elapses between exposure to the pathogen and the development of symptoms and between symptoms and diagnosis and subsequent notification, many of the cases reported this week are likely to become infected in the early part of October. Taking into account the worsening of the general situation Liguria, Tuscany, Abruzzo, Basilicata me Umbria they went from the yellow zone to the orange zone, having become high risk. In the week of follow-up, all Regions / PAs are classified at high risk of an uncontrolled and unmanageable epidemic in the territory or at moderate risk with a high probability of progressing to high risk in the coming weeks. The conclusions are very worrying.

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Rt index greater than 1.5

The situation described in this report highlights the strong criticism of local services and the current or imminent achievement of the critical occupancy thresholds of hospital services in all Regions / PA. The additional increase in incidence is consistent with the increase in the national TR, which currently remains above 1.7 in its mean value and fairly stable (at 1.45) in the lower confidence interval, indicating an approach progressive. to scenario 4. «A generalized and generalized situation is confirmed as very serious in the national territory with criticalities now evident in all Regions / PA. A drastic reduction in physical interactions between people is necessary to relieve pressure on health services. ‘ Furthermore, “it is mandatory to adopt rigorous individual behaviors and to respect the sanitary and hygienic measures established regarding the distance and correct use of masks. We reiterate the need to comply with the measures recommended by the health authorities, including quarantine measures for close contacts in confirmed cases and the isolation of the cases themselves.

The virus circulates widely: cases not attributable to known transmission chains increase

The percentage of cases detected by contact tracing activities remained stable (19.5%) and the already significant percentage of cases identified by the appearance of symptoms (35.1%) was confirmed. The percentage of cases detected by screening activities (27.4%) is also confirmed stable. The percentage of cases for which the reason for the diagnostic evaluation has not been reported is now not negligible (18.0%). o The number of cases not attributable to known transmission chains continues to increase (74,967 this week compared to 49,511 the previous week) which exceeds 80% of the new cases reported in some Regions.

Last update: 23:28


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