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The index “Rt” described in the document is outside the limits that allow you to stay in the yellow zone.
FLORENCE. The final version will arrive today, no later than tomorrow (Tuesday 10). But a draft of the new weekly monitoring of the epidemic produced by the Higher Institute of Health has already slipped into the email boxes of the Health Department and the Health Department of Tuscany. Here in that document, Tuscany already slipped into the orange band.
It will be the control room that must ratify or correct these data and deliver its assessment of the class of risk to Minister Roberto Speranza, also evaluating other 21 parameters. But if the contagion index, the mythological Rt, is confirmed, the region would hardly escape a new squeeze.
The RT in this draft is outside the limits that allow it to remain in the yellow zone, therefore in the smoothest perimeter of geometric widening of the restrictions marked by the Dpcm. In fact, the RT would have risen from the 1.19 registered until October 25 to 1.4. In the final part of the week considered by the last follow-up, which runs from October 26 to November 1, in Tuscany the infection replication rate was well above the threshold set for scenario 3, where those who report a Rt between 1.25 and 1.5.
For Agenas, the regions national health agency, Tuscany has also exceeded the risk threshold in the occupation of beds in intensive care. It is in 42% of the places that can be activated while the alert is activated at 30%. Not to mention that the Ars, the regional health agency, on October 31 had included most of the district areas of central and northwestern Tuscany on a risk map. But, when would the orange restrictions come into force (prohibition of mobility outside the municipality and regional borders, closure of restaurants, etc.)? The Dpcm is clear: Hope would sign an ordinance and the day after its publication in the Gazzetta the soft lock would be activated. Probably between tomorrow and Thursday.
