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Joe Biden’s victory in the US presidential election hangs by a few thousand votes in Pennsylvania, the state that allowed him to exceed the 270 electoral votes needed to reach the White House. The main US networks assigned the state to him when the count reached 98% and the future president has an advantage of 34,000 votes, 0.5%: according to calculations, Donald Trump can no longer regain the disadvantage. They are for small numbers and, therefore, the official victory could still take several days.
Appealing to the narrow margin and citing unproven wrongdoing, Donald Trump has already said he wants to ask for a recount in Wisconsin (the advantage of 20 thousand votes, 0.6%) e Michigan (where Biden has a 147,000 vote margin, 3%), and he will most likely apply in any of the other states. As Nate Silver, one of the leading experts on American politics and founder of the site, pointed out in recent days Five thirty eight, counting can generally change the result when the difference in hundreds, sometimes thousands of votes: not tens of thousands.
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For counting the rules vary from state to state:
• In Pennsylvania Secretary of State Kathy Boockvar is required by law to call a recount before November 12 if the margin is less than or equal to 0.5% of the votes. Biden has a 0.5% lead for now, but the latest cards may serve to cross this threshold. If it were to start, the second count should end. inside November 24: this, in fact, the date on which, therefore, we should be sure of the result.
We should, because Donald Trump has already stated that he wants to ask for a recount in Wisconsin and – probably – in Michigan: without the electoral votes of these two states, therefore, Biden could again lack some electoral votes until the result is confirmed ..
• In Wisconsin There is no automatic recount, but state law allows a candidate to request a second recount when the margin is less than 1%. Biden’s is 0.6% for now, with 20,000 votes ahead.. The Trump campaign has to wait until November 17, when all counties in Wisconsin have finished counting the ballots – the results, however, may arrive a few days earlier. At that time, the second count must be done within 13 days, then a final result should arrive between the end of November and the first days of December. The 2016 elections also ended with a recount, after Trump beat Clinton by the same number of votes, 20,000: in the end it was the president who obtained 131 votes.
• In Michigan automatic recount if the margin between the two candidates is a maximum of 2,000 votes. Biden has an advantage of 146 thousand votes, 3%, therefore much broader. A candidate can apply for it within two days of the countdown if they claim to have been the victim of fraud and have a legitimate chance of winning the election – therefore, Trump should be the one to apply and pay for it too. It will be refunded if the count actually changes the result. To get a new result would take up to 30 days – should arrive before December 8, the last date that the federal government assigns to the states to resolve electoral disputes.
If Biden’s victory were confirmed in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, the same three states that gave Trump the presidency in 2016, the other states would no longer influence the outcome of the election, except for the margin of electoral votes between both. candidates, and therefore in the breadth of victory. In Georgia, for example, Republican Governor Brian Kemp has already announced that there will be a second recount.
• In Georgia A candidate may request a recount, but only if the margin is less than 0.5% of the votes. At the moment, Biden’s is 0.1%. The former vice president now has, with a 98% tally, a margin of 1,097 votes. Governor Kemp, however, has already removed all doubts: there will be a recount.
• In Arizona State law requires a mandatory recount when the difference between the two candidates is less than 1% of the votes. For now of 1.5 points in favor of Biden who, with the count still at 90%, has a margin of 47,052 votes.
• In Nevada Those who lose the election can request a second recount within three business days, regardless of the margin, but must cover the cost of operations. If it turns out to be the winner, the sum will be returned to you. I still count it at 89%, Biden’s lead of 22,000 votes, 1.77%.
Then there are the causes, at least ten, that President Trump and Republicans are submitting to state courts in particular in Pennsylvania, Michigan, Georgia, and Nevada, to stop counting mail-in ballots after November 3: fHowever, all the cases have been dismissed.. The thorniest case is still in Pennsylvania: In September, the state Supreme Court ruled that ballots that were late, up to 3 days after the election, must be accepted and counted. The United States Supreme Court has chosen not to rule on the case until now, but left open the opportunity to do so after the elections. Also in Pennsylvania, in Philadelphia, the observers of the two parties who control the counting of the ballots had to stay within 10 feet of the tellers: The Republicans sued, and a local judge ruled that they could get as close as 1.8 meters., but that the count must continue.
If the laws vary from state to state, at the federal level the deadline to resolve any dispute over the count set at December 8 -so there would still be a month and two days left- because on December 14 the United States electoral college meets to ratify the election of the US president, who will be sworn in on January 20, 2021.
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Therefore, Trump can request a vote recount in any state.
except in Arizona. However, rarely has a second count changed the outcome of an election: In Pennsylvania, Michigan, Georgia and Nevada this has never happened in the last 20 years. The result changed to a run for the New Hampshire Senate in 1974, with the two candidates were separated by 355: after the count they agreed to go to the polls again. In 2004, the election for governor of the state of Washington, the Republican candidate closed with an advantage of about 200 votes: after the count he was surpassed by the Democrat by 130 votes. In 2008, the race to represent Minnesota in the Senate was reversed with the recount: Republican Norm Coleman closed ahead of 200 votes, Democrat Al Franken eventually won by 312 votes. At the presidential level, however, there is a famous case, that of 2000 between George W. Bush and Al Gore in Florida, where the election was decided. After the count, Bush closed with margin of just under 2 thousand preferences: until winning the elections by 537 votes.
November 7, 2020 (change November 7, 2020 | 23:24)
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