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The decision to include a region in scenario 3 (orange) or 4 (red) rests with the Minister of Health.
by Nicoletta Cottone
The decision to include a region in scenario 3 (orange) or 4 (red) rests with the Minister of Health.
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“All the new measures foreseen by the last Dpcm – those reserved for the yellow, orange and red zones – will be in force as of Friday, November 6”. This is how Palazzo Chigi explains it, underlining that “the government has decided to let everyone have time to organize their activities.” The decision to include a region in scenario 3 (orange) or 4 (red) rests with the Minister of Health. This was established by the new Dpcm signed by Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte. Only later, once the improvements have been evaluated, can the measures be modified, in agreement with the President of the Region. A decision made by the Ministry of Health based on the 21 indicators that monitor the data of the pandemic. According to the October 25 survey, there were 11 regions with Rt over 1.5 and two regions with 2 (Piedmont and Lombardy).
The most affected are Lombardy, Piedmont and Campania
«The most affected Regions – said the director of prevention of the Ministry of Health Gianni Rezza – are Lombardy, Piedmont and Campania which register many positive aspects. They are regions that in terms of incidence rate are quite high, more or less at the level of Lombardy. The incidence is also high in Veneto, while in Lazio we see a slight increase, which however seems quite gradual. Then there are the smaller regions like Umbria with around 500 cases, which in terms of incidence in the population is quite high.
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Yes to the red zones in small parts of the territory
It is also possible within low circulation regions that there are closures of some areas where major outbreaks can develop. “This dpcm does not prevent regions from applying red zones to small parts of the regional territory: it is a completely practicable mechanism.” No automatism, said Rezza, “for the definition of the red zones in which to introduce restrictions, it is already foreseen in the dpcm, but this” does not mean that everything is so easy. “Rezza recalled that” RT is an indicator of estimation that It comes from automatic models, but by itself it could also be fallacious. Resilience must also be seen and this makes the mechanism more sophisticated. It is a parameter that is a set of 21 indicators that include those of resilience and we are thinking about that ».
Priority to reduce the flow to the emergency room
“Reducing the influx of emergencies and hospitals – said Rezza – is absolutely a priority at the moment, because if it is true that mortality tends to be lower, when cases increase, the number of deaths increases after a while. ‘of time “. The director of the Department of Prevention of the Ministry of Health has recalled that” with a disease that in most cases has few symptoms, it is necessary to reduce the risk of flooding in hospitals. “
The number of positives in the total swabs exceeds 10%
“The number of positives in the number of swabs performed exceeds 10%, so the proportion of positives in the tests performed is quite high and this is not a very good sign,” Rezza said.
