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The United States and the world see the American electoral map in apnea, waiting for the key states to take their final color (red for Trump, blue for Biden). Among the uncertainties, one fact is certain: no blue tsunami materialized in America’s longest night. The president takes place in Florida and Georgia, and is a leader in Ohio. The Democratic challenger is forced to hold on to the Rust Belt (Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania), where delays and disputes in the counting of mail ballots are most likely. Texas, with its 38 voters, does not betray the Republican, while North Carolina remains in dispute. Biden’s lead in Arizona is not enough to save him from what was considered the “worst case scenario”, net of defeat: hanging for days or weeks on the Pennsylvania result, which with its 20 big voters is probably destined to be the needle. of the balance.
The battle in the key states
Florida’s heavyweight remains in Trump’s hands. Already in the middle of the night, the Trump campaign proclaims victory in a tweet, despite the US media giving the race “too close to call”, with the president ahead by 2.5 points with 91% of the ballots counted. Advisers to the Democratic candidate for the White House are now resigning from the Golden State, stressing however that “it is not the beginning of a trend.”
But as the hours pass, the Republican is also making a comeback in Ohio and North Carolina, which initially seemed to ‘smile’ at Biden. According to the projections of the New York Times, Trump, after being in Ohio, would have surpassed Biden with 50.5% of the votes.
Longest wait for Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania
Elections officials in Pennsylvania have announced a suspension of the count of mailed votes, about 350,000, roughly equivalent to Trump’s current lead. Yet according to state election officials, of the 76,000 votes already counted by mail, only one in 16 is in favor of Trump and the Republicans. The data on the preferences expressed remotely should be published again as of tomorrow, starting at three in the afternoon, Italian time. The uncertainty of the outcome of Pennsylvania’s vote could be replicated in other Midwestern states and in the so-called Rust Belt, the working-class suburban region that in 2016 was decisive for Trump’s election. In both Michigan, Ohio and Wisconsin, in fact, the president is ahead of a few hundred thousand votes, but could be penalized for preferences expressed in the mail. However, some states, like Pennsylvania, allow this type of voting until Friday. In Michigan, it could wait until Friday.
Certainties, not conclusive
Le proiezioni dell’Associated Press danno Biden vincente in Virginia (13 grandi elettori), Vermont (3), Massachusetts (11), Delaware (3), New Jersey (14), Connecticut (7), Rhode Island (4), Illinois (20), Maryland (10), New York (29), New Mexico (5), DC (3), Colorado (9), California (55), Oregon (7), Washington (12), New Hampshire (4 ).
Trump è invece vincente in Kentucky (8), West Virginia (5), South Carolina (9), Oklahoma (7), Mississippi (6), Alabama (9), Tennessee (11), North Dakota (3), South Dakota (3), Nebraska (5), Wyoming (3), Arkansas (6), Indiana (11), Louisiana (8).
Trump’s speech to the nation at night
The President will deliver a speech from the East Room to the White House later. This was reported by former councilor Kellyanne Conway. “You will hear the president tonight … his address to the nation is expected farther from the East Room of the White House.” Biden could also speak from Delaware, where he is following the results of the vote.
“Cautious optimism” in the dem committee
“I am cautiously optimistic”: Tom Perez, chairman of the national committee of democrats, said in an interview with the British network BBC.
The remarks were made in Wilmington, Delaware, where party candidate Joe Biden follows the release of the election results.
Goal 270
The minimum goal to win the presidency is the threshold of 270 voters. It will take many hours (if not days) to establish a winner. This is due to the record size of early voting (about 101 million voters have chosen this path), the variability in state laws, and the potential legal disputes that could arise in the event of a very close race. Please note that initial results could change dramatically over time as cards are counted by correspondence.
Meanwhile, turnout is already a record: according to estimates by the US Elections Project, it is 67%, the highest in more than a century.
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