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What does it mean to divide the Regions into three bands according to the severity of the situation, as announced by Prime Minister Conte? What will happen in the areas of greatest risk? The truth is that the government has not yet explained it to the presidents of the regions and until yesterday morning they spoke about it in very general terms. However, it is undeniable that in the most serious scenario a territorial blockade and the closure of schools are foreseen. South Tyrol, due to the multiplication of cases in Bolzano after the inaugurations the other day, yesterday made decisions that can make clear what will happen in high-risk regions: traffic ban from 20 to 5, closed bars, restaurants and shops .
DPCM: three critical areas, hypothesis red zones and curfew, how it works
PIANO
If you browse the Plan prepared by the Higher Institute of Health, the one of the four scenarios, the most serious is triggered when the Rt is constantly above 1.5 (for three consecutive weeks). And very strict measures are also indicated. Precisely an image that Prime Minister Conte recalls in the Chamber: “We will have a band reserved for High-risk Regions, from scenario 4, with the most restrictive measures, then we will have a second, with High-risk Regions but compatible with scenario three , with slightly less restrictive measures; finally there will be a third band with the entire national territory for the rest of the regions. ”Well, what is expected for the“ high-risk regions in scenario 4 ”? The plan speaks openly, if the The situation is confirmed for more than three consecutive weeks, “of extended regional / provincial restrictions”, of “a more extensive form of restriction at the provincial or regional level based on the epidemiological situation”, of “large-scale restoration of agile work and limiting individual mobility ”. In short: a regional blockade, with a ban on moving to other regions. It must be said that for example in Lombardy (in the high risk range), where some containment measures have already been decided, they are convinced that they can avoid the regional blockade. Regarding schools, the plan is very clear: “Closing of school / university structures of extension and duration to be defined with respect to the epidemiological scenario and activation of the DAD modality whenever possible.” Who risks these kinds of restrictions? If you are going to see the RT data, the virus transmission index, certainly Lombardy and Piedmont, since they are even above 2, but also Calabria and Valle D’Aosta. Puglia and Sicily are also under observation.
A lack of data flow is reported for Campania. To define the three-band classification of the regions, the control room takes into consideration the April 30 provision signed by the Minister of Health, Roberto Speranza, which aligned 21 indicators that assess the transmission rate but also the performance capacity . swabs on time, to follow up, the percentage of filling of hospitals with Covid patients (should be less than 30% for intensive care, 40% for other departments), the percentage of positive tests performed, the incidence of new cases based on in the population. All of these factors, particularly the situation in hospitals and the number of positive swabs, result in a crisis situation that must be addressed quickly. The closure of secondary schools must be generalized, with the use of distance education, throughout the country, but last night the Minister of Public Education, Lucía Azzolina, fought against the rest of the government, because she believes that the measure will apply alone in the Redband Regions (where, in the worst case scenario, Dad will also spread to middle and elementary schools).
TO THE CENTER
Everything seems fluid and complicated, because the truth is that the Government has not specified how the measures will be measured for the regions in the different bands. And the reference to the Plan with the four scenarios leads to a less rigorous text, which in fact leaves room for interpretation. Today the control room will have to rewrite the evaluation forms based on the latest data, but if we limit ourselves to last Friday’s – crossing the Rt with the other 20 indicators – it can be assumed that in the middle range they can be inserted between others. Lazio, Umbria, Sicily, Abruzzo and Veneto. Also in this case the range of possible measures is varied, surely provincial or urban red zones will be used, which for example Lazio is already considering for some areas of Viterbese and Ciociaria. There may also be travel restrictions and store opening hours. Which regions will be in the lowest risk bracket? According to the latest polls, but the photo was always taken last week, Sardinia, Basilicata and Molise. In all regions, including those with lower risk, the hypothesized limitations for the entire country apply: curfew at 9:00 p.m., closing of shopping centers on weekends, closing of bingo halls and arcades, education to distance in all high schools.
Last updated: 08:31
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