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Critical situation, with a doubling of cases in a week (from 52,960 to 100,446) and a rapid approach to scenario 4, “with the risk that health services will be maintained in the short term”, also due to the dreaded exceeding of the threshold critical in intensive care 15 regions. The weekly monitoring of the Higher Institute of Health, with data relating to the week of October 19 to 25, offers few points for optimism. To these numbers are added the newspapers, once again with a very negative trend. There is a record of people found positive for the fourth consecutive day, with 31,084 new cases and 199 deaths (here the latest bulletin). It’s true that even I tampons carried out reached the record number of 215,085, but that is not a consolation given that the positivity rate also increases: 14 percent of those tested are infected. The most affected regions are Lombardy (+8,960), Campania (+3,186) and Veneto (+3,012). That is why the government is also thinking about agree with the Regions on the closure of the metropolitan areas of Milan, Naples, Bologna, Turin and Rome.
The schools
The acceleration of contagion, experts report, produces an increasing difficulty in finding data. For the president of the ISS, Silvio Brusaferro, measurement results are seen after 15-20 days, therefore not earlier than a week. The school environment, he explains, represents 3.8% of all infections. The school, according to the president of the Higher Health Council, Franco Locatelli, “contributes marginally compared to other contexts. However, there is everything that refers to entry and exit, transportation and the formation of gatherings.
Regions at risk
Eleven regions are considered “one high risk of uncontrolled transmission ‘and 8 are classified as’ moderate risk with a high probability of progressing to high risk in the next month’. The recommendation is that of one “Drastic reduction in sociability”, limiting travel from home and contacts to the bare minimum.
Symptomatic increase
The number of symptomatic cases has doubled: from 27,117 to 54,377. The TR calculated in symptomatic cases is equal to 1.70. Rt values higher than 1.25 are found in most Italian regions with values higher than 1.5 in several cases. Piedmont and Lombardy have exceeded threshold 2 of the Rt and they are at 2.16 and 2.09 respectively. The province of Bolzano and the Aosta Valley are close to 2. In 10 other Italian regions, the RT has exceeded the threshold of 1.5. The number of cases detected by contact tracing decreases (19.2), the number of cases detected by the appearance of symptoms increases (32.6). Eighty percent of cases do not adhere to any known chain of transmission, confirming the increasing difficulties in monitoring.
Intensive terapie
As for the state of hospitals, “there is a high probability that 15 regions will exceed the critical thresholds for intensive care and / or medical areas in the next month.” The number of people in intensive care increased from 750 (October 18) to 1,208 (October 25); while the number of people hospitalized in medical areas increased, again in the same period, from 7,131 to 12,006. In some areas, for the first time, the critical occupancy threshold for beds in the medical area (40 percent) was exceeded,
In the world
Global Covid-19 cases topped 45 million, an increase of nearly a million cases in two days, according to data from Johns Hopkins University. The United States is the most affected country with a total of 8,945,891 cases and 228,668 deaths, followed by India, with 8,088,851 cases and 121,090 deaths. Brazil is the third country in terms of number of infections, but ranks second on the list in terms of deaths. Among the countries that have already exceeded one million infections are France (1.3 million), Spain (1.1), Argentina (1.1). By number of deaths, Mexico is the fourth most affected country with 90,773, followed by the United Kingdom with 46,045; Italy, with 38,122; France with 36,058 and Spain with 35,639
October 31, 2020 (change October 31, 2020 | 07:26)
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