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Contagion at school, Minister Azzolina repeats that schools are safe environments. However, sadly, not all medical science confirms the Minister’s certainties. There are two opposing schools of thought. In the middle we find the study of A. Viola (immuloga) which, however, does not reassure. Therefore, confusion and fear increases.
Infectious at school, the figures of Minister Azzolina
Infectious at school, the Minister constantly repeats that school is a safe environment. According to L. Azzolina, the measures implemented (masks, spacing, tracing, sanitization …) are adequate, protecting school personnel and students. In support of what he declares, he provides the following information: “Outbreaks at school in the week of October 12-18 are only 3.5% of all new outbreaks occurring in the country. But the most surprising figure is another: the previous week (October 5-11) they were 3.8%. So the number of outbreaks within schools has decreased in proportion to the total.The ISS confirms that the risk of transmission of the virus in schools remains very very low. “The short report, however, presents a partial truth: the decline is not due to an increased capacity of schools to handle Covid-19, but to a difficulty in the health system to track infections. The reason is simple: cases have increased. To this must be added the words of Prof. F. Bucci: “There is no well-done sampling and there is no specific and constant observatory of the schools, despite the fact that the data exist because they all flow to the ministry of health. “.
It must be said that the Minister until October 10 based her report on the number of positives and not outbreaks. In this case, the figures and percentages in the period from September 26 to October 10 presented a worsening situation. Among the students, in fact, it went from 1492 to 5793; among teachers from 349 to 1020 and finally among non-teaching staff from 116 to 283.
Technicians and experts do not help clarify
The change of minister Azzolina is understandable. Unfortunately, more clarity was expected from the experts. The valuation discrepancy confirms that the science is based on evidence. When they are lacking or not enough, there are few certainties (I. Capua, virologist)!
Massimo Galli (head of the Department of Infectious Diseases at the Sacco Hospital in Milan) has always been critical of the opening of schools in September, stating that the reopening made sense with few infections. Two of his statements clarify his position: “I would not have been scandalized and I would not have considered it a failure if the schools had not opened until October 1, in a situation in which everything was well arranged… ”. “It was meant in every way to say that schools have nothing to do with the increase in infections. But this does not hold. Schools have something to do with it … “
The position of A. Zangrillo (surgeon) is different. His declaration at the end of May is already history. “Actually, the virus from a clinical point of view no longer exists …“. Today about the reopening of schools said in September: “We should not dramatize, the exchange of tools between boys and girls can be regulated and if we follow the guidelines that have been given on distancing and personal hygiene. I think the risks may not be exactly eliminated, but we must keep it in a range that is far from psychosis. “
I have limited myself to mentioning two experts, each of whom expresses a current of thought in Covid-19. Obviously, there are also more nuanced positions between these extremes.
Among all these opinions, opinions or statements argued in various ways, a study by A. Viola (immunologist), Enrico Bucci and Guido Poli stands out. The force of this “research on the spread of the virus in schools“, It lies in its scientific character. These are the conclusions:
“1) The data considered does not support the role of schools as” multipliers of infections
2) The data considered shows that schools are no longer protected than the rest of the community
3) The school infection rate seems to follow that of the surrounding community.
4) The probability of infection in a school is not significantly different from that of society as a whole “
However, the study does not reassure, it only certifies the perfect permeability of the school to the ups and downs of the epidemic in the social context.
Is information overload it only promotes confusion in school personnel and parents. This is the ideal condition for fear to take hold of people and deliver them to a paralyzing phobocracy. To this I add the reduction of the perspective of the future in favor of an infuriating attention to the present. A condition that contrasts with the school that by its nature is open to tomorrow. It will be interesting to see how we get out of it!
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