risk is a curfew throughout Italy

The pressure on Giuseppe Conte to launch new restrictions that stop the coronavirus epidemic is increasingly suffocating. And the prime minister, the newspapers write today, was convinced to launch a new Dpcm with a curfew throughout Italy. But the point at issue is the moment: while the Corriere della Sera gives the measure as imminent (for Sunday, October 25), according to other sources the prime minister intends to wait for the effects of October 18 before making a decision. .

A new Dpcm with a curfew throughout Italy

As we have written, there is very specific pressure on Palazzo Chigi to launch a new Dpcm with more restrictive measures including curfew throughout Italy and distance education at least for secondary schools. In their majority to push are the Democratic Party and Leu with Dario Franceschini and Roberto Speranza in the front line. Outside, there are calls from scientists and doctors to the forefront of emergency management. And the governors, who, however, prefer to go unnoticed so as not to anger their constituents. To come to light, but everyone already knew how he thought, it was yesterday also the president of Campania Vincenzo De Luca who in a decision-making outburst also announced that he is ready to launch restrictive measures in his region for which he would not even have the powers. .

In the middle of this chaos is Conte. Whoever looks at the numbers of the latest Civil Protection bulletin and not only points out the 19 thousand infections but also that there are more people in intensive care today than on the day of the confinement (the limit to close everything has been set at 2300, half of the places currently available). And note that after Campania, Lombardy, Piedmont and Lazio, Calabria, Sicily and soon Sardinia will also issue restraining orders. And that many mayors have already arranged micro-locks in the nightlife squares (from Rome to Genoa, from Florence to Palermo). the Corriere della Sera He writes that the prime minister has decided to change the pace and has set to work on a new Dpcm that could be ready tomorrow night.

Schools remain open. Industry, commerce, crafts and professions continue. Instead, all activities deemed “non-essential” will be stopped, from lectures to non-professional sports. There will be a new seating limit on buses and an even more limited number of guests at ceremonies. Minister Gualtieri is already evaluating the funds to restore the activities that will be forced to stop.

In particular, the holding points should refer to:

• Gyms and swimming pools, for which the lockout is evaluated;
• Shopping centers, which are closed on weekends, as well as local markets;
• The school, with distance education for 50% of the courses;
• Beauticians and hairdressers, for which closure is not expected but more controls

Who pushes Conte towards the confinement?

The near near future is Italy’s “orange zone”

But the most important point refers to the curfew throughout Italy, on which the greatest tensions are unleashed both in the majority and in public opinion. The newspaper explains that scientists are pressing for the cessation of activities and circulation to be imposed at 9:00 p.m. (or even at 8:00 p.m.) throughout the national territory.

But several ministers believe it is too drastic to shut down all of Italy at home at 9pm and ask to save the restaurant business, perhaps by tightening controls and sanctions. The possibility of postponing the curfew until 10:00 pm or 11:00 pm remains open, leaving public places to choose whether to remain open. In any case, after the established time, you can leave your home only for reasons of urgency, health and work.

Instead, there are those who push for less drastic solutions, such as the “soft” or soft lockdown (whatever that means) to be released within a week or ten days, after evaluating the final effects of the latest provision. The idea explains Republic, is to limit movements to justified reasons with an extended series of cases that will include purchases: so that the stores can remain open. In the local curfew the Democratic Party wants it to be set at 20, Palazzo Chigi prefers 22 or 23.

Another idea, which he talks about today instead The impression, is Italy’s “orange zone”. Without blocking schools, productive activities and commercial establishments that offer essential services. No travel restrictions, but with the borders between regions closed.

The idea of ​​the orange zone was born from two studies of the Mario Negri institute, delivered to Conte, where it is shown that in the short period in which this measure remained in force in Italy, from March 8 to 12, it had beneficial effects on contagion . It is also within these studies where the data on the effectiveness of evening curfews in European countries are compared: irrelevant, except – he says – for a psychological effect, which would induce the population to have a greater perception of danger.

The idea of ​​a 10 p.m. curfew, as has been raised in recent days, appears to be out of date. Bars, restaurants and shops should close, even if there are those who push to keep them open until at least 6pm. The schools, however, would remain open, but with clearer and more valid rules for all.

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To date, therefore, there are those who forecast a new Dpcm with a squeeze that will arrive on Sunday, October 25, and those who think that the government will move next week. Great is the confusion under heaven, but unfortunately the situation is not excellent: it is tragic.