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COVID-19, the body Giorgo Parisi sounded the alarm: “Strong measures or more than 400 deaths in 15 days.” Without strong measures, therefore, in two weeks deaths from COVID-19 could exceed 400: the physicist Parisi of theLa Sapienza University of Rome. “In the last 20 days the number of cases has doubled every week – he points out – and for a week the number of deaths has followed that of cases”. The number of deaths began to double, lagging 7 days from positive cases.
Covid, movements between regions: the government evaluates the stop. Rt towards 1.5: it is alarm
Covid and gyms, “always masks”. The pools are fine. The Spadafora winery
The trend of the epidemic
“What seems certain – continues Parisi – is that from the number of cases today we can trace the number of deaths in a week. For example, the number of cases yesterday corresponds to about 200 deaths in one week and the following week could double even more. Consequently, he added, “if the measures adopted a few days ago do not work, it will be difficult to avoid between 400 and 500 deaths a day.” Taking into account this trend in the growth of the epidemic, also commented by Parisi in the press, a proportional increase in hospitalizations in intensive care units is also foreseeable and in this way “we would run the risk of collapse of the health system.”
For this reason, according to the physicist, “measures must be taken with the utmost urgency to stop the increase in the spread of the epidemic. If the measures were too strong, after 10 to 15 days they could be reduced. This is because “the effects of any measure on deaths are seen after 15 days.” For Parisi it is “difficult to say whether a weak or strong blockade is necessary, but decisions must be made immediately”
Covid, movements between regions: the government evaluates the stop. Rt towards 1.5: it is alarm
“The situation is very critical” and Giuseppe Conte does not hide it. In fact, when addressing the Chamber, he accentuates the concerned tone used the day before at Palazzo Madama. But before launching another package of measures, he hopes that the Regions will deploy their own without presenting the government against those measures – such as the closure of schools in Campania and Lombardy – most contested.
Last updated: 12:28
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