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MILAN – This time the numbers have decided. At the table with the governor Attilio fontana there are the Lombard mayors. They have in hand the reports that the regional CTS has prepared. Scenarios turn ugly: we are talking about a horizon of 600 people, compared to 113 today, in intensive care at the end of the month and 4,000 hospitalized in other Covid departments.
There is not much to comment on and the closure is born regarding the “squeeze” of the Dpcm.
A decision that has two faces. For politics it is brave, suffered for social goods, but necessary. For techies who have been beating the numbers on the table for days, it’s better than nothing. Why they would have liked it better: “Now there is not a minute to lose and we have to change gears. I wonder if closing the city for a quarter of a day will suffice, among other things, the least busy – says Antonio Pesenti, coordinator of the Lombard crisis unit for resuscitation -. In Germany, Angela Merkel went on television and asked everyone to stay home.. Except if I say it here, nobody believes me. ”
But the curfew petition, launched by the Region and endorsed by all mayors, remains a courageous choice, because it anticipates other regions where contagion is corrected proportionally even faster.
But it is the population density of a metropolis like Milan, with theRt leavened in the last days up to 2.34, give fear and do not allow postponements. A figure, which tracks the speed of the contagion referred to last Wednesday and which is therefore destined to rise. Thus the decision was born, adding many and too many critical points.
The admissions projection report is just the top of a complex pyramid. Because for days, especially in Milan, but also in Monza and Varese, the numbers have skyrocketed to the point of missing the decisive follow-up work.
«Stay home without waiting for our callThe medical director of Ats Milan admitted, raising a political scandal Vittorio Demicheli.
With an average of 1,500 positives per day in the Milan area alone, it is impossible to interview everyone to track down close contacts to isolate them and send for a swab. The other loud and clear call had come in the last few days from the ER. A sudden wave, after a calm summer and September. There ambulance queue of patients who often needed hospitalization for respiratory problems. The need to find and convert hospital beds. A much more manageable tetris than in March, when the pandemic surprised the hospital logistics behind it. But numbers that departments were no longer used to. In particular for ordinary hospitalizations, since to slow the growth of intubated patients The reopening of the Covid hospital built at the Fair is being prepared.
It seemed like a luxury, now it is no longer, from the moment the threshold of 150 hospitalizations in intensive care is reached, the doors will be reopened. There are spaces and machines, health personnel are beginning to be hired in other hospitals in the region. There are 158 beds that will be progressively assigned to the most seriously ill and 60 for sub-intensive treatments. In March, the seriously ill were sent to Germany.
Now the plant is there though darker CTS projections suggest the need for other beds in addition to the Fiera. But most of all, now no one can allow the wave to get too big to force them to review that bad movie they have already seen. So the lights go out at 11pm. A sign to town to drink. It seems late, but for many it is dawn.
October 20, 2020 (change October 20, 2020 | 07:15)
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