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“I was optimistic when I spoke of the Christmas closing. We may not call it that, but with these numbers, with the constant increase in new positives, we will reach a tightening of the containment measures much earlier. Teacher Andrea Crisanti, microbiologist at the University of Padua, in recent days had hypothesized the use of very heavy closures, also in view of the Christmas. Now that the number of new positive cases in one day is close to 12 thousand and while the total number of patients hospitalized for COVID-19 there are around 8 thousand, it is understood whether the measures decided yesterday by the government will be sufficient.
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Isn’t there the risk of postponing the problem by having slowed down the incisiveness of measures to contain the epidemic?
“Look, we have a double problem here. The numbers that are coming out are a mess. We need to lower the contagion curve, but once we get the result, we must be able to keep the curve down. But the tracking system has completely failed. ‘
What does that mean?
“I want to say: let’s stop talking only about these containment measures. Suppose they work, we all hope they work. But then the problem is another: how can we keep the number of infections low? We have already failed at this once. Do we want to repeat the same mistake? Containment measures are useless without an organic plan to equip Italy with a system that keeps the number of infections low. It is the real challenge, we must insist on it.
what did we do wrong?
“Excuse me, but if instead of spending money to buy wheelbases, we had invested in tracking and swabbing, we would be in a different situation today. If we had really invested, like China, which made 11 million swabs in a few days, we would be in a different situation today. We cannot continue another six months with just closings. Why has this plan to improve buffers and tracking never been discussed? “
In short, going down the curve runs the risk of being a very provisional outcome.
“Certainly. We don’t have the tools to keep it low. This summer we had reached 300 infections a day, we should have asked ourselves the problem and organized ourselves to prevent the data from coming back up by putting in place a real and efficient buffering and tracking system. Instead, we have done nothing.
Did you expect such a rapid increase in the number of infections? In just a few weeks we have gone from sustainable daily figures of around 1,500-2,000 to six times higher. So everything is jumping, now even the contacts of a positive are not tracked and identified by the health systems of the different Regions.
“For once I have been optimistic, I have been proven wrong. He had planned the closure at Christmas, thinking that the positives would gradually increase. I would not have expected the territorial monitoring and contrast system to collapse so quickly.
Are we risking lockdown even before Christmas arrives?
“I don’t know, also because now it seems that in Italy the word confinement cannot be pronounced. But it is clear that a tightening of the measures will be a rapid advance if the ones that have been put in place do not work. On the other hand, everyone praised the behavior of the Italians for months, after they managed to lower the curve. Italians are always the same, they have not changed. The only difference is that no plan has been made to keep the number of infections low. Paradoxically, closing everything is easy, but then we must prevent infections from reappearing.
Last updated: 22:07
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