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The day Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte should launch a new decree for the containment of coronavirus infectionsThe position of Franco Locatelli, president of the Higher Health Council, takes on special relevance, since it somehow anticipates what the government’s line could be to manage this phase of the second wave. Host of Lucia Annunziata’s program Half an hour more, Locatelli took stock of the situation, being more than optimistic about the evolution of the second wave of infections in our country. Even aware that “the strong growth of infections is undoubted”, in fact, the academic explains how at the moment “we are not in a situation of panic or alarm, also because only a third of the positives are symptomatic, while the the rest of those infected are asymptomatic or paucisymptomatic “. A panorama that would be very different from that of March, when “everyone was asymptomatic”, the average age was much older and the epidemic was growing exponentially.
In reading the ISS exponent, for the moment the growth of the indicators related to Covid-19 would still be linear and not exponential, “because there is no product of a variable by a fixed number, but only a number that is added to the previous one” . Among the figures that Locatelli considers positive are those of intensive care, an area in which we have 700 people, for a picture not even comparable to that of the peak ”(then the Regions could activate new jobs in a short time), as well as the relationship between positives and swabs, “one of the lowest in Europe”.
Locatelli also adds that the areas most affected by the first wave are those that now appear the most protected, but he is skeptical about the possibility that the so-called herd immunity will be achieved in a short time.
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