Coronavirus, infection alert for Milan, Monza, Como and Varese: “I am in Phase 3”



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Four cities at risk. Which, having weathered the first wave last spring, are now shaking. And they are in the middle of that “scenario 3” described by the ministry and the Higher Institute of Health in recent days, in which the narrowness of the health system is at risk due to the pressure of the virus on hospitals and closures are possible located. And other restrictive measures, compared to those indicated in the last Dpcm of the government, seem to be indispensable. It is the photograph of the situation in Milan, Monza, Como and Varese that emerges from the latest data on the circulation of Sars-Cov-2 in Lombardy. Figures that photograph a very difficult situation: only yesterday the new positives in the entire region were 2,067 (out of 32,507 swabs, with a positive rate of 6.3 percent), with 26 new deaths.


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Coronavirus, today’s newsletter October 15 in Lombardy: 2,067 new infections and 26 deaths

More than half of the cases – 1,053 – are concentrated in the Milan metropolitan area: “Only if we are fast can we continue to take more restrictive measures without blocking everything. But everyone must give up something”, reflects epidemiologist Vittorio Demicheli, director Ats of Milan Health and member of the surveillance booth of the Higher Institute of Health. And he adds: “A projection was made about what could happen in the next month with regard to the commitment of the health service. The risk, if actions are not taken to limit infections, is that within 30 days in hospitals the Pressure at the levels of last spring, although for the moment in Lombardy the situation is not a red alert: there are beds in hospitals, it is about entrusting a greater number of them to Covid patients, redistributing the pressure between departments ”.


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The numbers cause fear in the metropolis of Milan. But also for Monza, Varese and Como. In other words, the provinces that during the first wave of the virus had got rid, at least in part, of the infections that dominated between Bergamo and Brescia. But now they are in the eye of the storm: yesterday the Milan area, for the second day in a row, broke the quota of a thousand daily infections, of which 515 were concentrated in the area of ​​the city of Milan. In both metropolitan and urban areas, such high figures have never been achieved. “For two days the Rt index in the metropolitan area of ​​the city has exceeded 2 and the trend is worrying,” explains Mayor Beppe Sala. From my point of view, to understand where to intervene, you have to know where the infections arise. There is rapid growth and we must act quickly: there are no radical restrictions at the moment, but in Milan and Lombardy we have to do something else ”.


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Coronavirus, the RT index rises to 1.17. The ISS data that warns the Regions: raise the defenses in the affected areas

It is not only the Milanese data that are worrying: yesterday Monza registered an increase of 196 positive people in Sars-Cov-2, Varese in 170, As in 63. Figures that, in relation to the residents of these provinces, cannot be underestimated . The same happens with the data regarding hospital admissions: yesterday in intensive care patients positive for Covid-19 throughout Lombardy reached 72, eight more. And in the Covid pavilions, the balance between resignations and new entries is far from rosy, given that the total number of patients treated in the “wings” of Covid hospitals reached 726 yesterday, with an increase of 81 compared to the day before.

Hence, then, the alarms of the experts. And attention to indicators such as Rt. That at the Milanese level, based on what was calculated by the Epidemiology of Corso Italia, is at an altitude of 2.08 (calculating both symptomatic and asymptomatic). For the whole of Lombardy, the monitoring of the Higher Institute of Health, made public yesterday and relating to the week of October 5 to 11, places it at 1.15 (Italian is 1.17), calculating it only in symptomatic cases. That is, 5,910 patients: with these data, then, the incidence is 58.59 cases per 100 thousand inhabitants, almost three times the previous report.

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