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COVID-19, the Gimbe Foundation, through tracking data between September 30 and October 6, reports that there has been a steady increase in hospitalizations, especially in 7 Regions, and that I contagion soared in the first week of October. An increase in SarsCov2 infections, therefore, with new cases increased by 42.4% and the increase in hospitalized patients with symptoms (+ 18.9%) and in intensive care (+ 17.7%), in addition to deceased (+ 13.1%).
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In particular, in 7 Regions the percentage of hospitalized cases is higher than the national average of 6.6%: Sicily (11.5%), Liguria (10.4%), Lazio (9.9%), Apulia (8.9%), Piedmont (8.6%), Abruzzo (8.2%), Basilicata (7.9%).
Rising up the contagion curve
“In the last week – says Nino Cartabellotta, president of the Gimbe Foundation – the contagion curve has skyrocketed, due to the net increase in the ratio of positives / cases analyzed. The steady growth of hospitalized patients with symptoms and those in intensive care is also confirmed.
Since mid-July, new weekly cases have more than tenfold (from just over 1,400 to over 17,000), with the positive / case ratio increasing from 0.8% to 4%. This dynamic has increased the currently positive cases fivefold, from 12,482 at the end of July to 60,134. Regarding hospitalizations of patients with symptoms, since the end of July they have gone from 732 to 6,325 and those of intensive care from 49 to 319. Although there is no overload of hospital services, “relevant regional differences are beginning to emerge.” Continues Cartabellotta – As of October 6, 8 Regions have hospitalization rates per 100,000 inhabitants above the national average of 6.5: Lazio (13.9), Liguria (13), Campania (9.2), Sardinia (8, 8), Sicily (7.9), Piedmont (7.1), Abruzzo and Puglia (6.6) “.
The progressive increase in currently positive cases, which began at the end of July, “after a month -he continues- has triggered an increase in hospitalized patients with symptoms and in intensive care, and after 2 months it also begins to affect deaths”. Therefore, masks are also good outdoors, concludes Cartabellotta, “since we do not yet know the real impact of the reopening of schools and the overload of health services after the flu season. However, to contain the second wave, particularly in the central-south regions, it is necessary to strengthen and standardize the standards of territorial and hospital health care, and reduce the high risk of contagion in public transport ”.
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Last updated: 14:32
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