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The numbers don’t say all coronavirusBut they can impress and cause the government to make extreme decisions, even in the wake of popular emotion. This is why the forecast on the contagion curve of Giorgio Sestili, physicist and scientific analyst interviewed by Print, has the flavor of “condemnation” to emergency shutdown: “In the next ten days infections will increase a lot because in the last week they have more than doubled. They could even tripleThey arrive, therefore, of the order of 15 thousand daily infections. Figures of the immediate closure of the borders, perhaps worse. Also because what was really worrying would be the health situation: “On March 28, 3,856 were registered in intensive care, October 10th 390, but in ten days they could be ten times more, with all the consequent consequences especially to South of the country where health facilities are not equipped as in the north. Also destined to rise are the hospitalizations in the hospital, even if now the data is comforting, 26,676 March 28 against me 4,336 October 10 “.
The comparison between March, in the acute phase of the epidemic, and today remains “complicated,” explains Sestili. “It is true that on March 28 the positives were 5,974 and October 10 5,724, has and tampons have risen since 35,000 to 133,000. Nor can we forget that last spring’s figures were very underrated: before the more than 250 thousand cases cleared, Istat and the Higher Institute of Health took charge 1.5 million of positive serological tests. So it means that the size of the pandemic was 5-6 times greater to what we think “. To confirm the reasoning also the fatality rate of the virus:” In April it was 14 percent, August 1,“one%, while it is currently between 0.65 and 1 percent“Will it be enough to keep Palazzo Chigi cool?
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