Covid, Ricciardi: ‘December? I risk 16 thousand cases a day. ‘ Anesthetists: ‘So emergency intensive care in the South in less than a month’. Boccia: ‘Ready for closures between Regions’

In two months, Italy is likely to have 16 thousand infections a day. Sound the alarm on the situation of the spread of coronavirus in the country, with the second wave already causing a steady increase in cases across the country, is the member of the executive committee of theWorld Health Organization (WHO) and consultant to the Minister of Health, Walter Ricciardi. “What has happened since June is a doubling of cases every month – Said a Good Morning, his SkyTg24 – We had 200 cases, then 400, then 800, then 1,600 and now we are more than 4 thousand cases. So we run the risk in a month of having more than 8 thousand cases a day and in two months, when the flu arrives, of having 16 thousand cases in a day ”, with the doctor who says he is concerned about the situation in the wards from Campania and Lazio. Concern shared with the Italian association of hospital anesthetists, whose president Alessandro Vergallo stated that “with the current rates and numbers and without further containment measures, we estimate that in less than a month intensive therapy to the Center-South they can go in suffering“. And the Minister of Regional Affairs, Francesco Boccia, speaking to Radio Capital of the new peak of infections, stated that “the travel restrictions between regions cannot be excluded, nothing can be ruled out at this time ”.

Ricciardi: “We agree to a reduction of the quarantine from 14 to 10 days”
The minister’s advisor hope He then explains that by all the institutions and bodies responsible for the fight against COVID-19 there could have been more attention to a second wave than, in viruses of this type, is very likely: “The historical fact that all pandemics second most dangerous wave of the first – he said – in front of what awaits us, that is, enormous pressure with the arrival of the flu, the testing system had to be reinforced extending it to all the structures, both public and private, that can do it and then with emergencies that in many cases have not yet made the differentiated paths “.

This relaxation of which Ricciardi speaks “has determined a guard down. Now there are Regions that have been more or less prepared and my concern is that this preparation is not yet adequate, especially for when the flu arrives. There’s others Regions that have been found less preparedin other words, they did not increase the testing capacity that was allegedly necessary and was absolutely necessary ”. “I do not want to blame the Regions – Ricciardi stressed – I know that yesterday some presidents resented my statements, but I want to emphasize that in the face of a respiratory virus pandemic we must all work together and base decisions on scientific evidence.”

Among those who did not welcome the statements of the member of the WHO Executive Committee are certainly the Governor of Emilia and the President of the Conference of the Regions, Stefano bonaccini, what talking to 24Mattino his Radio24 responded by saying that “Ricciardi has no institutional skills and I think some words have been misused“.

While the institutions repeat that the health system is responding positively to the new wave of infections, the doctor explains that “hospitals are filling up again. Covid facilities in Campania That’s in the Lazio they are almost full. I am concerned not so much about the intensive therapies that we are talking about, but the subintensive ones where there are infectious patients who need to be treated in a certain way. And the places are already saturating now, and much less when the flu will arrive ”. “We will not collapse – he assured then -, but in a situation of great pressure. When temperatures drop and flu viruses arrive, there will be problems because we must stay indoors and families will be infected ”.

However, what should be avoided in every way, he says, are ” school closings and a new one general lock“And despite the increase in infections, it is said in favor of a quarantine “reduced to 10 days how is it done in Germany, with one tampon instead of two tampons. It is something that we are saying as scientific advisers to Minister Speranza and I hope that the Government will take it into account ”.

Anesthetists: “Resuscitation in the Central-South suffering in less than a month”
Confirming Ricciardi’s fears about the stability of the health system, especially in the Central-SouthAssociation of Italian Hospital Resuscitators (Aaroi-Emac), Alessandro Vergallo. In fact, in a statement he stated that “if the trend in SarsCov2 infection cases continues with current rates and numbers and without further containment measures, we estimate that in less than a month intensive therapy to the Center-South, especially in Lazio and Campania, they can go in suffering in terms of available beds. “The association says it is” very concerned about the southern regions, where we notice a greater lack of preparation to face a possible worsening of the situation. “

“What we are experiencing these days – concluded Vergallo – could be the beginning of the second wave of the Covid-19 pandemic instead of the long terminal wave of the first pandemic phase. This worries us because it presupposes a greater increase in infections. We could be facing a phase of initial exponential increase in cases, and no longer facing a more contained linear increase ”.

Boccia: “Restrictions between regions cannot be excluded”
Given the situation, Minister Boccia, speaking with The breakfast club his Radio Capital stated that “the limitations of movement between the Regions It cannot be excluded, nothing can be ruled out at this time. We must defend work and health at all costs. Mobility between regions must be safeguarded, but the situation must be monitored on a day-to-day basis. As soon as a warning light comes on, you have to intervene ”.

“The resurgence of infections was foreseeable,” continues the minister. “Intensive care has been reinforced. These are different numbers from April, even though the virus is there and we have to live with it. As a government we do not set any standards“And in rapid tests:” It is not acceptable to wait hours and hours to take a swab. We must strengthen health services, we are working on rapid tests so that they can be done anywhere. “

Words that have raised concerns, so much so that the head of Regional Affairs wanted to specify that there is still no such provision on the table, thus trying to limit scaremongering: “Not excluding interventions in case of increased infections does not mean closing, but being ready for any intervention. We avoid creating worries. Today the regional health networks work well for the joint work of daily strengthening that is done between the State and the Regions. In these days we will convene the control room with President Bonaccini to take stock of the proposals of the Regions as they were established yesterday at the State-Regions conference ”.

Guerra (WHO): “Rapid tests do not replace standard ones. Group immunity? Forget this “
The day after the government’s announcement of the race for 5 million quick swabs to be delivered to GPs, the WHO Deputy Director-General for Strategic Initiatives, Ranieri War, I wanted to remind you that “rapid tests have no substitute value than standard, but can contribute a lot to mass detection. It is a garrison that is undergoing significant technological development. I hope to have rapid tests in a month. less invasive, salivary, which in 10 minutes, with colorometric values, will be able to give us an answer with great precision, compared to the current ones, about the positivity of Covid-19 ″.

Who is talking about group immunity, the expert wanted to respond by saying that “more than 90% of the population is still susceptible to coronavirus. It will take years and years to achieve herd immunity. unacceptable human costsAnd then he defended going back to school by explaining that “schools in Italy are safe, but they inevitably lead to an increase in cases because it is a large and varied community that opens up and contributes in a not significant way to the spread of the virus, but in an increasing way. But I, more than in the schools, would go and see the obstruction of public transport, the catering, he worldly events, of fun, of reopening to social life that have caused a decrease in caution ”.

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