[ad_1]
The Scientific Technical Committee has defined the four scenarios to face the second wave of coronavirus in Italy
Scientists from Scientific Technical Committee have finished preparing the document on the so-called “preparation“In other words, preparing for the future challenges of the coronavirus pandemic in Italy. According to ‘La Repubblica’, it is a document of 100 pages that will be presented in Regions. In the text, CTS scientists illustrated the “toolbox” that will be used against the coronavirus as infections grow in what experts have called the “second wave.”
The text is similar to the one over which there have been controversies in recent months because it was classified.
Now no numbers have been put in, but four scenarios have been used to describe the trend of the epidemic, thinking both nationally and locally.
Specifically, given the national situation, four levels of risk are assumed in the individual regions: low, means, medium, high for less than 3 weeks me more than 3 weeks high.
Coronavirus in Italy: the four scenarios
the First stage is when there is one low circulation coronavirus, with sporadic outbreaks and with a Rt consistently below 1, situation similar to that of July-August. In this scenario, more basic primary care measures, such as case tracking and the standard protective precautions.
the second scenario shoot if you have one national circulation supported, with many shoots on the rise, but in which there are no fears in the short and medium term because the health system proves to be capable of managing the situation. However, if in some regions the risk is moderate or high, important measures have already been planned, both in schools and outside, with contained red areas.
the third stage occurs when theRt is rising steadily, me cases increase, me sprouts they have one sustained growth and here they are risks of narrow health system in the medium term. In this case you could also decide closures of social and cultural activities, such as discos, bars and gyms.
The fourth scenario is triggered when theRt remains stable above 1.5 for at least 3 weeks and there is a “criticality in the health system in the short term“. me outbreaks are no longer under control and you will no longer be able to track cases. In this case, large red zones are created, schools and universities are closed and new measures are taken to contain the contagion.
Italy, writes ‘La Repubblica’, is now probably al second level. In certain regions, such as Campania, there is a fear of going to the third or, in any case, of being in a situation of medium or high risk.
VIRGILIO NEWS | 06-10-2020 07:13
Photo Source: Ansa
[ad_2]
