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There have been further increases in coronavirus cases in the past two days. Giorgio Parisi explains why
The increase in new cases of coronavirus recorded in the last days: 2,548 Thursday and 2,499 Friday. The numbers were up substantially compared to Wednesday’s bulletin, which saw an increase of 1,851 cases. Physicist Giorgio Parisi, from La Sapienza University in Rome, tried to explain to Ansa what could have led to these results.
Covid, case boom: Parisi’s explanation
“It still cannot be ruled out that it is one fluctuation – said Parisi – it is not possible that from one day to the next there will be such a large increase ”. In essence, therefore, the increases of yesterday and today could be isolated cases. Or, the figures recorded in recent days could be due to the presence of multiple outbreaks.
“The psychological threshold of 2,500 cases is striking, but the data indicates that even in the past there have been days with similar peaks,” Parisi explained.
Covid and buffers, the report is annulled
Next, the expert reflected on the number of swabs performed, which has often been said to be the reason why more cases were identified; Parisi, for his part, observed that “the number of tampons no longer has a precise threshold because the necessary tampons are manufactured: if cases increase, so do tampons“In practice, the impression is that” it is no longer the tampons that increase the cases, but quite the opposite. “
The trend of the epidemic in the coming days will be decisive for the current situation, which could stabilize at 2,500 daily cases or fall below this threshold. Parisi spoke after the doubling time, citing the example of August 20, when there was a sudden boom in infections: “It was really worrying because it corresponded to a doubling time of one week, if it had been prolonged. so it would have been a disaster. “
Covid, there are only 14 outbreaks in schools
In any case, experts tend to rule out that the new increases are already attributable to the reopening of schools. According to the weekly report of the Istituto Superiore di Sanità, only 14 outbreaks out of 909 were reported in schools.
The president of the National Institute of Health, Silvio Brusaferro, specified: “Seeing an effect on school is still presto. We have to wait a few more weeks. I have to say that the school is quickly identifying people with symptoms and this is a good sign of the ability to track cases. “
VIRGILIO NEWS | 02-10-2020 23:41
Photo Source: 123rf
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