Quote 100, the class of 59 flees from retirement. To avoid the ladder, annual mini-penalties.

Rome, September 28, 2020 – The announced end of Quota 100 starting in 2022, together with other factors such as the dramatic economic crisis, could generate a massive escape to him pension, next year, for those who reach the required thresholds (38 years of contribution and 62 years of age) in 2021 or in the last months of this year.

In pole position those born in 1959, but also those born between ’58 and ’55 who turn 38 years of contributions in the coming months. In total, according to estimates by unions and professionals, there could be some 300,000 early departures.

Which, added to old age and other retirements, could lead to the quota 650-700 thousand the figures of exodus from work, around 150-200 thousand workers more than in 2019. With a significant concentration in the sectors with the highest risk of dismissal (tourism, commerce, services) or in those with the greatest suffering (school, health, ‘ order).

In short, the definitive confirmation of the premier Giuseppe Conte on the closing of Quota 100 on the expected expiration of the three years of experimentation if, on the one hand, it attends to the requests of the Pd, Italia Viva and especially from Europe, on the other, it determines a rush for early departure. There’s a risk of one on the horizon 5 year ladder (because the age of 67 years for old age is still in force): unions and the government are looking for solutions to avoid it, but whatever modality is found, it will be less advantageous than the current one. From 102 (38 years of contributions and 64 years of age) to formulas that include penalties (from 63 years but with 1-2% less for each missing year compared to 67), from the provision of differentiated exits in relation to the work performed ( heavy activities as established for the social Ape), as Conte himself suggests, to other more complex variants, one thing is certain: they are more disadvantageous and more expensive solutions than the current system.

It is also objected, however, that those who earn Quota 100 now or in the coming months, can still leave in the same conditions in 2022 or later. But, both from patronage and from the unions, it is observed that the proportion of those who know that “you can keep what you have purchased in your pocket” is minimal.

The issue – they insist from the union – is that, in addition to the alarm derived from the end of the mechanism, there are other exceptional factors derived from the economic emergency due to the pandemic. The private workers in their sixties who are today in layoffs, with the prospect of another year of cash or with the dismissal (once the confinement is over), they cannot wait to be able to collect the pension.

It’s a consistent audience if you think we’re talking about baby boomers, born in the second half of the fifties, and who began working between the seventies and early eighties.

The speech is different for him public employment. The average age of public servants is equally high: it is enough to think that those over fifty are more than half of the total, some 1.7 million workers. But there is no risk of layoffs or layoffs.

In certain areas, however, also as a result of the pandemic, conditions of “suffering” have been created that lead to leaving when possible. And so from the school, according to the unions in the sector, about 60,000 should go (not just for Quota 100) between teachers and administrative staff. Similarly, another 30-40 thousand could drop out of medical care. And even larger numbers could be related to departures from the security sectors.