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the government discuss a possible extension of the state of emergency – expires on October 15 – until December 31, 2020. A decision will have to be made shortly and it remains to be seen what the Government’s orientation will be in this regard.
As the Minister of Health explained at this time, Roberto SperanzaRegarding the extension of the state of emergency, considerations will be made in the coming weeks. Sincecontagion curve trend (here yesterday’s newsletter) our future will indeed depend: to date, in fact, the data tells us that Italy is far from the risk of a second wave. According to experts’ estimates, if the contagion curve remains below the 5,000 threshold in the coming weeks, it will mean that the reopening of schools has also been reabsorbed. And in this case the Government may handle the pandemic more calmly, most likely also avoid a “massive” extension of the state of emergency.
The restrictions will be maintained, also because, as the Minister of Health explained, among European countries Italy is among those with the least number of infections: a “benefitThat is what the Government intends to defend.
An extension of the state of emergency is not so obvious until the end of the year, but to avoid this it is necessary for the government to find the solution to some problems.
What is needed to avoid the extension of the state of emergency
The Government these days will try to understand what is the best way to proceed in the face of the extension of the state of emergency. A renovation would obviously be the easiest way, but probably the less popular. There are many Regions that do not like the extension of the state of emergency, such as Friuli Venezia Giulia governed by Massimiliano Fedriga, the man who according to Salvini should lead the Conference of State Regions (where Stefano Bonaccini is today) given that 15 Italian regions are currently governed by the center right.
Therefore, the Government is evaluating the possibility of avoid a block extension of the state of emergency, approving a series of different measures depending on the number of infections – or rather, the Rt index – in the individual territories.
In this way the Government could maintain obligations and prohibitions for citizens until December 31, 2021 even without the special powers you have today.
Remains to be understood how will it be possible do it without the “full powers” recognized with the state of emergency: for example, how will it be possible, if there is a need set red zones and gods localized closures? A solution will have to be found, as well as for the extension of those ordinances that establish the prohibitions and obligations to be respected by pandemics.
In short, an extension of the state of emergency can only be avoided if the government finds an alternative solution to the following problems:
- confirmation of the obligations introduced with the aim of limiting infections in the territory, such as mask me local sanitation;
- the same happens with prohibitions, such as meeting;
- confirmation of the coordination function attributed to the Head of Civil Protection;
- confirmation of the extraordinary powers attributed to the Presidents of the Regions as “theme implementation“;
- approval of a specific measure to confirm smart work subsidized even after October 15;
- Finding a way to shorten the authorization chain, which in recent months has been helpful for rapid swab purchasing and serological testing, and could be used in the near future to procure massive doses of the flu vaccine.
Goals that would be simpler to achieve with an extension of the state of emergency, but at the same time, such a decision would be somewhat unpopular and Giuseppe Conte should respond politically (also because no one in Europe has taken such a measure).
