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The 5 Star Movement and the League have lost three million votes in these regional elections and the populist parties are withdrawing from the Europeans and since the coronavirus emergency began. The Republic explains today that the regional elections give the country the reduction of the Northern League and the relentless plunge of the 5Stelle.
How M5S and Lega have lost three million votes
In the last 15 months, in the territories in which they voted last Sunday and Monday, the two parties lost 3.2 million votes. It is a decrease in size and different trends: the grillini, after the political boom that made them the first force in Parliament, have started an endless decline.
The Carroccio, on the other hand, had accelerated to the detriment of the 5S, until the top of the 2019 European Championships and the following July polls that had taken it to touch 40 percent. Then Papeete, the departure of the executive and a quick reversal in analyst estimates that now for the first time also raises questions about the leadership of Salvini, the tractor driver who had resurrected the anemic Bosnian creature.
In Campania, Puglia, Veneto, Liguria, Tuscany and Marche, regions that represent more than a third of the Italian population, the League alone loses almost a million votes compared to Europeans, the 5 stars are abandoned by two thirds of the electorate (from approximately 1.9 million to 658 thousand). And in this case Di Maio and his colleagues cannot even hide behind the screen of the movement’s structural weakness in the local elections: in the Regional 2015, in the same theaters, M5S obtained double approval.
It is worse for the League, which in Campania obtains 5.6 percent (132 thousand votes) against 19.2 percent of Europeans (419 thousand votes), in Puglia it reaches 9.57 percent (160 thousand votes ) but is down fifteen points (25.3) compared to 15 months ago, when it accumulated more than 400,000 consents.
The 3-man war on the M5 (and the fear of disappearing)
The collapse of the populists in the regional elections
The pollster Alessandra Ghisleri in La Stampa points out that the M5s left around 1,200,000 preferences in the field compared to the European elections, while compared to the policies of just two years ago in the same regions it lost 3,600,000 votes.
In voting intentions, after a period of important crisis, he continues to maintain a figure that places him as a third force in the country: an incredible contradiction with what happened at the local level where, on the other hand, the Brothers of Italy prevailed – with about 950,000 votes. third formation in the ranking. Italia viva de Matteo Renzi, projecting their votes only in the six regions -without Valle d’Aosta- would reach a percentage of around 3.5%, while at the national level, facing a reality of participation closely linked to ideology and dynamics policy of the benchmark leader, remains stable at around 3.1%.
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On the other hand, Giorgia Meloni in the national voting intentions confirms its own growth proving once again to be the only party in evolution at the polls and in the territory, despite the failed attempt in Puglia with Raffaele Fitto.