The grillini drain to the center left. “Decisive transfer in Tuscany and Puglia”

But, what was the behavior of the citizens before the vote especially compared to the Europeans of 2019? The first analyzes confirm the extreme mobility of the electorate of Cinquestelle and a kind of “call to arms” to defend the forts left by the center left. Center-left that, especially in Tuscany and Puglia, has been able to mobilize voters with force, shaking the nightmare of the dangerous-right in government.

There are two mirror situations, although of the opposite political nature: the Veneto, dove Luca zaia triumphed, and the Campania where did the same Vincenzo De Luca. The first Northern League, and supported by a center-right coalition, the second by the Democratic Party and carried out by a myriad of center and left lists. And the 5 stars? A first analysis carried out by the Cattaneo Institute shows a ‘escape’ from the Movement which does not translate, compared to 2019, into abstention, but into center-left candidates. the Professor Salvatore Vassallo, professor at the University of Bologna and director of Cattaneo, thus analyzes, based on the first data collected, the specularity between the Zaia and De Luca cases: “In addition to the magnitude of their victory, it is interesting to note –attack– the nature of the flows. I mean that the votes they came (center-right for the Venetian governor, center-left for the president of Campania), but also from other parties. For example, the flow was very strong towards De Luca by the Cinquestelle who practically ‘abandoned’ their candidate by not taking refuge in abstention as usually happens, but in the candidate he felt closer. ”And to say, we add, that De Luca has never been tender with Luigi Di Maio, his compatriot and company. On a closer inspection, the same Garters, which have been in Campania since the first hour because the Carroccio does not have an ancient tradition in those areas, did not go to Stefano Caldoro (former governor of Campania and exponent of the center-right), but to De Luca.

In essence, Cinquestelle’s vote went to the center-left, apart from Veneto. Yes, however, let’s do this analysis in order. The vote for Giani dei pentastellati is substantial. The alarm that has been given by a possible loss of the strong ‘red’ has worked not only in the traditional center-left electorate, but also, especially in the cities analyzed by the Cattaneo (Florence and Livorno), in the Grillino area. The same happened in Puglia, although in this case with a lesser contribution from the Grillini votes awarded to Emiliano in an anti-center-right role ”.

In Liguria All He confirmed all his strength, although not like Zaia and De Luca, by virtue of the good management of the pandemic. He did not obtain as many votes from the Cinquestelle as Zaia and De Luca, but it must be considered that in this case his candidate, Ferruccio Sansa, was the expression of a yellow-red coalition.

the Tuscany case it is emblematic for the role that abstention has played. Democratic voters voted together Giani and also the left and the grillini, while the center-right saw a certain coldness towards the candidate Susanna Ceccardi, with her lower participation in the vote. Something like what happened to Raffaele Fitto, a former Forza Italia exponent who joined Giorgia Meloni, who did not collect not only the votes of the opposing party, but not even a part of his. It seems to prevail, although the data is partial and refers only to a large urban center like Brindisi, a real distrust towards Silvio Berlusconi’s former student.

In short, the votes of the Cinquestelle have been cast in the vast majority towards the center left. Taking into account a fact: namely that, since the European elections of 2019, the electoral body from Gràcia had been modified by those who later passed to the other side voting League in continuity with the yellow-green government, Count I. “Let me be clear: Cattaneo’s analysis – concludes Vassallo – is still partial, but the fundamental guidelines seem to me to be valid as a whole. Now, as soon as possible and as soon as Once we have the data, we will try to understand what happened, in terms of vote displacement, in the Marche region. “