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We vote today until 3 p.m. for the regional elections but also for the constitutional referendum in court by parliamentarians. And while secret and clandestine polls end in chats and WhatsApp there are two regions on the scale that could mean the difference between victory and defeat for the government.
Regional elections: Tuscany and Puglia in balance
But let’s go in order. Due to the coronavirus emergency, this year we voted again in two days. Polling stations close today at 3 pm. We voted for the governors of six Regions and for the referendum on the reduction of parliamentarians as well as in Valle d’Aosta where, however, the president of the Region is not directly elected. The first ballots to be counted will be those of the constitutional referendum whose counting will begin today immediately after the polls close. The scrutiny of the Regionals will be carried out without interruption.
Tuscany elections 2020, results and live exit polls
The voting for the mayors and the 958 new municipalities (15 provincial capitals participate) will open tomorrow at 9 in the morning. Annalisa Cuzzocrea in Republic however, he points out that there are some things that can be said right away. The first is that, based on the participation figures broken down by region and province, no wave can be seen.
A mobilization similar to the one that in Emilia-Romagna favored Stefano Bonaccini against the rival of the Northern League, Lucia Borgonzoni, leading him not only to win, but to break it by almost eight points. Giovanni Forti, from Youtrend, explains that “in Tuscany, one of the regions in the balance, compared to the Europeans of 2019 there is no difference in participation that can somehow give indications about the choice of citizens. Because the decline differs more or less everywhere and cannot be explained from a past political vote ”.
To put it more precisely, it is true that Florence has been among the cities with the highest turnout so far, which is somewhat comforting to the Democratic Party and the center-left candidate Eugenio Giani, but it is also true that turnout declines less. -compared to Europeans- in places like the province of Pisa, the area of Cascina from where the candidate of the League Susanna Ceccardi arrives. And of course there are a smaller number of people with the right to vote there, but Florence and her field are not enough to give any certainty. And therefore, the one thing that everyone is convinced of, including those directly affected, is that the result will be a tightrope, whoever it favors.
The other data highlighted by the analysis of Youtrend It is about the referendum, for which there is no increase in participation in the centers of the big cities, on the contrary, it is the opposite. The total participation could exceed 50% and this puts a good mood in front of the yes.
When a government fell after losing regional elections
Regional Elections: What Pollsters Say
The director of the Cattaneo Institute Salvatore Vassallo explains it, always a Republic, thus: “The most correct parameter is with the 2006 referendum, for which we voted in a day and a half and not just in one as in 2016. Then at 12 o’clock the participation was 10%, at 19 o’clock on 22, 4, at 10 pm on the 35th and finally reached 52. Now, the impact of the regionals – which have had a greater driving effect in the South – suggests that a higher percentage of participation will be achieved.
“In Marche, as in Tuscany, there is some more favorable participation data for the red provinces, Pesaro and Ancona – says Giovanni Forti – but who can say what it means?” Nobody takes a risk, not there, where the center-right has advanced at an impressive speed in recent years, not in Puglia. Where the high number of voters in Bari and in the so-called Bat, the province that brings together Barletta Andria and Trani, has come to give a modicum of hope to the Democratic Party. There Emiliano considers himself stronger. But those votes may not be enough.
Turnout is also high in Lecce, where Raffaele Fitto comes from and where Democrats expect a draw. “Many things have changed in the last two years – explains the minister pd Francesco Boccia – in Lecce the mayor Salvemini is ours, we won in the first round a year ago as well as the president of the province Minerva who is also the mayor of Gallipoli. We closed at Piazza Sant’Oronzo, which was packed. The knot is now maintained in the other provinces.
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La Liga, with Salvini also beginning to fight for the leadership of the center-right in these elections since Giorgia Meloni’s candidates are strong, yesterday spent the day appealing to the vote on social networks. So did the Democratic Party, whose secretary Nicola Zingaretti plays for the place. Tonight we will know who won and who lost.
