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The handsome Giuseppe Conte never misses the opportunity to post his photos on social media. And yesterday, therefore, the portrait of him leaving the armchair could not be missing, accompanied by the sweet message of “good vote to all.”
For everyone, and especially for him. Although the prime minister has kept a prudent distance from the electoral campaign, sinking like a submarine and denying even a poor photo-opportunity to the poor candidates for governor, so as not to catch possible defeats, the risk of suffering the fall of this round . there is a vote and Conte is very concerned. To make the outlook even bleaker yesterday, thought the Minister of Economy, Gualtieri, who explained how the pandemic has reversed the positive trend triggered by globalization: for the first time in 30 years, the world poverty index has started again. on the rise: “500 thousand children are at risk of dying in the next six months due to the impact of the economic crisis,” he warns. And if “the lockdown was the right choice,” he says, Italian unemployment is also set to explode in the coming months, and getting it back under control will not be an easy task.
A negative result of the vote would destabilize the Democratic Party, it would accentuate the gang war (Chicago model of the 30s) in the Five Stars and for the government the parliamentary incident would be lurking in each vote. With the certainty that there will be no snap elections, and with the European billions from the Recovery Fund to keep the Giallorossi together, now dead, the temptation to seize Palazzo Chigi could increase. The dream of replacing Conte with a character of the caliber of Mario Draghi is unrealistic: not only because of the lack of availability of the person concerned, but also because of the furious resistance of politics to the commissioner. Conte, for his part, assured all his interlocutors that Palazzo Chigi is willing to leave a lot of space in the management of European resources: each one of them, was the guarantee offered, will have a voice and capacity to maneuver unprecedented financial levers. In short, for Conte, the Recovery Fund has become the ultimate life insurance.
In Cinque Stelle everything is staked on the silly question of the constitutional referendum to hide the obvious debacle at the polls. At Pd’s house, however, the count is awaited with frantic anxiety.
At the moment, the only region safely attributed to the center left is Campania. Where, however, it will certainly not be the Democratic Party that wins, but the very popular (and completely autonomous) Vincenzo De Luca. A 5 to 1, with the loss of Tuscany, would start the search for the secretary, but it would also open the reflection on a government in which the Democratic Party acts as a bearer of water without achieving consensus, but rather losing identity. The secretary, aware of the risk of a very disappointing result for his party, prepared the resistance by playing his cards well. For weeks, attention was focused entirely on the case of Tuscany, on mysterious polls that were clashed and on the danger of seeing the red region end up in Salvini’s clutches. With the result that the center-left electorate has mobilized and that if (as in the Nazareno they consider very likely) Tuscany holds, Zingaretti may appear victorious even if in other regions he suffered other bloody defeats, making them go almost unnoticed. Including the sensational failure of the only electoral alliance with the M5, in Liguria.
