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Advice not required to government (from which, I think you understand, I am certainly not a strong supporter): If there is a time when I force my hand with Europe, It’s understood as Germany, and that. And not just because the wait can be fatal, given the turnaround looming around the corner for the French economy and which will necessarily act as a catalyst. But why Angela Merkel, the current president of the Union, has never been so weak and cornered. Never. The manifestation? Paradoxically, it is precisely the ridiculous and suicidal show of force that is taking place against the Russia sul Navalny case. That, as you may have read, he woke up from a coma. Good news, I am delighted.
However, there is other news that emerged from the Moscow-Berlin dispute in recent days that the media did not account for, almost in many cases slavishly following a Playbook provided by the Department of State. Gentlemen, let’s cut off the bull’s head, once and for all: the whole affair in progress is a replica of the orange operation carried out in Ukraine and starts from Belarus. Where, for example, the media denounce the kidnapping of one of the opposition leaders. Instead, she is detained at the border with Ukraine some twenty hours later and then arrested while trying to leave the country.
So, the Steven Spielberg movie begins disguised as information. Our heroine would have been forced to go to Ukraine, meanwhile she wished to be by the side of her people who broke her passport for that purpose. I’m sorry, but as the leader of the opposition to a ruthless regime, tear up your passport to stay and be killed, if we are doing it now. to the mattresses? Also, why does everyone want to go to Ukraine? Just because it’s close? There are also those two American satellites disguised as sovereign states of Lithuania and Poland, to escape. However, Ukraine seems particularly sensitive to the issue. And it so happens that if it were really a staging by the Belarusian authorities, it would mean that someone has made a “lair” for the puppeteers of the case.
Perhaps, by organizing that arrest near the border, Minsk wanted to send a clear message to Washington? Because gentlemen, I hope it has not escaped you how Ukraine is a minefield for the Democratic candidate Joe Biden and a potential game changer of the presidential vote on November 3, in the event that other news emerges from that country, for example, the former vice president’s son, the good old Hunter Biden and his meteoric rise as CEO of strange strategic companies. Because Ukraine, whether we like it or not, was the scene of a sensational heterodirect coup from the West in an anti-Russian key: absolutely legitimate, in terms of reason of state and global security, if you want to refer only to the Atlantic narrative. Just as it is absolutely legitimate for the Kremlin to react. Especially after Kiev would potentially be about to follow Minsk, the last stronghold just before the Lithuanian and Polish NATO casemates near the borders that once belonged to the USSR. And just to understand and understand what level of provocation is taking place towards the Kremlin, this map shows the strategic location of Georgia. Where the Nato initiative of the bombastic name of Noble member 2020, something like 3,000 soldiers allied from the United States, Great Britain, France and Poland with the intention of simulating a rapid reaction force against an attempted external invasion of the capital, Tbilisi.
These are the words with which the Georgian Prime Minister, Giorgi Gakharia, greeted the start of the great maneuver: “It is a guarantee of peace for our security, an operation that should not be interpreted as a hostile act against anyone. This exercise represents the most important component of a wide range of efforts and actions aimed at achieving the Euro-Atlantic integration of Georgia ”. It was you Vladimir PutinHow would you translate these words concretely? But that is not enough. Take a look at this graph, which shows us how, also due to an oil price that, in addition to not rising, threatens to hit new lows, the ruble is coming under strong pressure in the foreign exchange market, in fact affecting the accounts. public and leaving a prelude to a speculative Turkish-type attack.
Yesterday came the Kremlin’s response, when when faced with a question related to the continued depreciation of the currency, the president’s spokesman limited himself to underlining how “Russia has already given life to its own strategies of coverage against the risks of world market volatility. “Read, physical gold. A shovel. In short, a great risk. But since the plot of the Ukrainian game is known to all, some genius wanted to put the heavy burden against Moscow: the case Navalny. What, we must remember, symbolically is very strong in the West thanks to the propaganda of the media and social networks, but politically in Russia it does not amount to anything. Or a little more. And here we are today. To what we can define TAV syndrome, although in a Teutonic key. Under a slap to any American “spite” towards symbolic companies (automotive sector, Bayer and Deutsche Bank) and government presences openly under the political dictates of Mike Pompeo, Angela Merkel had to start her anti-Russian campaign, even going so far as to let that A less patriotic part of your government airs the shutdown of the Nord Stream 2 energy project in retaliation for the Navalny case, should Moscow fail to lead to an open, transparent and credible investigation.
The media hype, of course, has started to soak up the bread. Clearly, working in conjunction with the Belarusian front. Which, I don’t know if you’ve noticed, seems to be increasingly connoted as the post-Soviet response to the destabilized France of the Yellow Vests: anti-Lukashenko ocean demonstrations every weekend, duly covered by a moon landing-worthy media poster. Then absolute silence. In my house, if the opposition is really oceanic, it tries to blockade the country. Every holy day until the despot falls. And, above all, its leaders – with similar numbers and support, at least according to television – do not try to flee abroad, but rather lead the revolt. Perhaps we are facing the first case of a revolution through smart work. Covid power.
However, there is a problem: Germany has come out of the box this time, using a French. First, by evoking possible European sanctions against Moscow, something that he had to easily withdraw, given that he was quick to emphasize how this act should be accepted and voted on by the entire EU forum and not unilaterally decided by the rotating Presidency. As if to say, as soon as they presented the proposal, the phone calls rained down. Second, look at this map, published the other day by the German newspaper The world: shows us the strategic greatness of the Nord Stream 2 project, which cost years of diplomatic battles and work. And investments.
Do you know how much are the minimum penalties that Berlin should pay, only in a bilateral and state contract with Moscow, in case of resignation? More than 12 billion euros. Plus compensation for German, Russian and other countries involved in the work. Now, net of the paralysis already put by the more rational and less hetero-direct part of the German government to a similar movement, it seems to her that in a total attempt to recover from the blockade, Germany can justify in the eyes of its. -Similar diplomat, on behalf of Aleksey Navalny?
If so, it is because someone has promised more. Much more. But that someone, who is he? Because in two months, a lot could change in Washington. Very much. Most. And someone directly interested in the race for the White House also has a lot to gain so that certain secrets kept in the post-Soviet latitudes remain so. At least for a few more weeks. Angela Merkel, for her part, would certainly have avoided such a move. If she did, it is only as a last act of love for the country: it was necessary to take sides, to choose what seemed to be the lesser evil. And she did. But, perhaps precisely because of the little or no conviction, in such a way that reveals the weakness of this bet.
It is no coincidence that the media have been very careful not to guarantee that the Russian diplomatic maneuver will have the same echo as that of Berlin: summoning the German ambassador and, above all, a statement from the Foreign Ministry that seems to herald the end of Moscow’s patience in the matter. “We hope that Berlin will provide all the information available: both the results of the laboratory tests of the German armed forces as well as some presumed tests that the German Foreign Ministry has. We are waiting for the German ambassador in the Ministry of Foreign Affairs. It is time to show the cards, because it is obvious to everyone that Berlin is bragging and is involved in some political mess, ”said the ministry spokeswoman, Maria Zakharova. All this, on the day that Lukashenko admitted that perhaps his time in power had been excessive and opened up to a possible early democratic vote, after some constitutional reforms (laws, guaranteed immunity): who do you think has brought back a softer advice the man from Minsk, the three tissues bent on the escape that the western press has already made an epigone of Rosa Luxemburg or perhaps of Vladimir Putin himself, at the point of diplomatic work?
Germany, probably crushed by years of foreign policy based on the principle of the foot with too many shoes, is in a dead end with few precedents, at least from the fall of the Berlin Wall onwards. We really want to leave Emmanuel Macron, not by chance silent on the Belarusian question and the Navalny affair, the possibility of mediating between the EU and Moscow, given the longest step of the stretch taken by Berlin or someone in Rome understands that it is time to to do Is the good relations that still exist between our country and Russia worth it? Do we also want to get our hands a little dirty in the mud of foreign policy – the true, parallel and unorthodox one – or do we continue to receive orders from the margins of the discussion, despite being geopolitically and geopolitically strategic?
Of course, as long as relations with China or Russia are based on the export of four boxes of oranges or on TSO’s hypothesis that the Kremlin will buy the public debt in rubles, we will travel a small distance. But since a “particular” unpleasant relationship between Rome and Beijing is already taken for granted abroad, we might as well play the cards we have in hand to get something. Because Germany today is weak and out of the game. If there is a time to sell yourself as a friend who can lend a hand (hitting a few at the same time, as warning and revenge for some past laugh), this is the time.
Cynicism? Yes, to the nth degree. Because this is how we live in politics, the rest is in the background.
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