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the regional elections September 20 and 21, 2020 are getting closer and closer. the latest electoral polls clarify the trend of the voting result. Leaving aside the autonomous community of Valle d’Aosta, the center right he could make almost complete loot by winning the game 5-1. I’d be a hunchback for him Government PD-M5S it could wobble.
Regional elections in Campania: the polls
This is probably the only region that could see the center-left win. In the period of the closure, all the electoral polls gave the outgoing governor of the PD as a super favorite Vincenzo De Luca. Advantage points, according to the latest survey SWG made exclusively for fan pages, they are on average 22 points over the center-right candidate in Forza Italia, Stefano caldoro and even 40 points over the M5S candidate Valeria Ciarambino.
The latest survey conducted by Ipsos for Corriere della Sera confirms previous electoral forecasts on candidates. De Luca is estimated at 50.4%, Caldoro at 29.0%, Ciarambino at 15.8%. Even a survey conducted about a week ago, Winpoll-Cise for Il Sole 24 Ore, it marked an insurmountable advantage by De Luca (58.6%) compared to 28.9% by Caldoro and 9.9% by Ciarambino. The percentages are different from the two previous polls, however the order of the winner and the podium does not change.
Surveys in Veneto and Liguria
Opponents of the outgoing president of the Veneto Luca Zaia they never had a single hope of undermining the seat of the center-right governor. Just think that the main opponent is Arturo Lorenzoni of the center-left, whose disadvantage is about 50 points, by the third place Enrico Cappelletti of the M5S who seems slightly favored over the candidate of Italia Viva.
It seems that the PD-M5S alliance in Liguria with the candidacy of The weather in Ferruccio Sansa. In fact, the outgoing governor of the center-right Giovanni toti, appears to have an advantage of about 17 points, according to the survey Winpoll made for Il Sole 24 Ore that dates back to a few days ago.
Marks regional election polls
Until recently, the party between the center-left candidate Maurizio Mangialardi and the one in the center-right Francesco Acquaroli, it seemed that everything was going to play. However, the latest electoral polls suggest that the region Market, in the hands of the center-left since 1970, it could end up in the center-right. The latest voting intentions Technical, they indicate Acquaroli between 43% -47% and Mangialardi between 35% -39%, far the candidate of the M5S Mercorelli between 13% -17%.
At about the same time, or less than a week ago, the survey Ipsos he estimated Acquaroli at 49.0%, Mangialardi at 35.8%, Gian Mario Mercorelli at 10.1%. Finally, the surveys Winpoll A few days ago, they assigned 51.8% to Acquaroli, 36.1% to Mangialardi, only 8.9% to Mercorelli.
Elections in Apulia and Tuscany: uncertainty reigns over the polls
Let’s start with the regionals in Puglia, voting intentions Winpoll at the end of August indicate the candidate of the center right Raffaele Fitto at 39.6%, the outgoing president PD Michele Emiliano at 38.2%, Antonella Laricchia 15.9% M5S, Ivan scalfarotto IV at 4.7%.
Survey Technical Last week, they estimated Fitto between 39% -43%, Emiliano between 36% -40%, Laricchia 14% -18%, Scalfarotto 2% -6%. Voting intentions detected by EMG, indicate Fitto at 43.5%, Emiliano at 38.5%, Laricchia at 12.5%, Scalfarotto at 3.0%. Survey Ipsos indicates Fitto at 41.0%, Emiliano at 39.4%, Laricchia at 15.6%, Scalfarotto at 1.6%. We close with voting intentions Winpoll-CISE which assign 39.6% to Fitto, 38.2% to Emiliano, 15.9% to Laricchia, 4.7% to Scalfarotto.
The game has also reopened in the region. Tuscany. Survey Winpoll-CISE signals a great comeback from the Lega candidate Susanna ceccardi, estimated at 42.5%, compared to 43.0% for the center-left candidate Eugenio Giani. By Irene Galletti of the M5S, only 8.3%.
According to the institute Technical, the voting intentions indicate Giani at 43% -47%, Ceccardi at 39% -43%, Galletti at 5% -9%. Survey Ipsos estimates Giani at 42.6% and Ceccardi at 41.5%, Galletti at 9.0%.
In conclusion
According to the latest regional surveys, it is clear that in Veneto and Liguria The outgoing center-right governors will be confirmed: Zaia and Toti. At MarketAcquaroli’s victory over Mangialardi seems almost taken for granted, bringing the region to the center right. The center-left can sleep soundly only in Campania, where President De Luca will be confirmed.
The regions whose result of the regional vote is much more uncertain are Puglia and Tuscany. However, although with a not very reassuring margin of advantage, the center-right could wrest the leadership of the region from the center-left. Puglia that would pass from Emiliano to Fitto, but the request for disjoint vote carried out by the current governor and directed to the voters of the M5S, which could bring fundamental votes to overturn the forecasts of the latest polls.
In TuscanyIt would never have been thought that the center-left stronghold could be at risk, but recent polls have pointed to a strong comeback of the Northern League candidate supported by the entire center-right, Susanna Ceccardi, against Eugenio Giani of the PD. It could end 5 to 1 in favor of the Salvini-Meloni-Berlusconi coalition, but it is still possible that the center-left will manage to equalize the party for the 3 to 3 regional elections.
