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COVID-19: according to what emerged from the latest surveys of the Gimbe Foundation It seems that Italy is traveling fast towards the Second wave.
In fact, not only the number of infected people, but also from those who need hospitalization and, in the worst case, the intensive care. It must be said, however, that not everyone agrees with the alarm raised by the Gimbe Foundation: for example, the newspaper commented negatively on tone too alarmist of this report, outlining how paying attention to percentage data rather than actual data gives a distorted view of reality.
But let’s go in order: today there is Gimbe Foundation – chaired by Nino Cartabellotta – has published i tracking data on the trend of coronavirus in Italy in the week since August 26 to September 1.
Data that, as can be seen below, point to the worst for the coming weeks in which, among other things, the reopening of schools will take place that could lead to an increase in infections.
COVID-19: infections and hospital admissions are on the rise
Independent monitoring of the Gimbe Foundation records during the week from August 26 to September 1, worrying resumption of the epidemic in Italy. In detail, next to a increase in new cases – come to 9,015, he 37.9% In addition, there is an increase in people who, due to symptoms of COVID-19, need hospitalization.
In detail, I hospitalized with symptoms came to 1,380, with a growth of 30%, while for those in intensive care there has even been an increase in 62%. The number of deaths, on the other hand, increased by fifteen%.
Growth was also recorded for people who are currently positive: more than 7,040 in a single week, although it must be said that at the same time the cases analyzed (86,515 in total, + 28% compared to the previous week) and the swabs performed ( 116,184, + 24%).
How to comment on these data? According to Nino Cartabellotta, president of the Foundation, it is “signs of resumption of the epidemic in our country, both in epidemiological terms and in clinical manifestations, on the eve of the crucial moment of the reopening of schools”.
Statements that frighten and make us think of the approach of a second wave; but is it really so?
COVID-19: too scaremongering?
Second The newspaper, he road with which the data was communicated by the Gimbe Foundation it’s too alarmist. By The newspaper, in fact, President Cartabellotta is “used to plucking the proper media chains“And for this reason, when counting the trend of the pandemic in Italy, he chose to spread gods percentage data.
For example, the Journal analyzes that + 62% of patients in resuscitation: a first reading of this data is objectively scary and suggests the worst period of the pandemic in Italy. It must be said, however, that we are talking about “a hundred people throughout Italy, out of 27,817 positive and about 60 million inhabitants”.
In detail, in the last week we went from 66 to 107: we are a long way from when Giuseppe Conte started phase 2 in Italy (when patients in intensive care 1,479) not to mention when, on April 3, we have reached 4,068. Read this way, the data is certainly less scary than the 62% reported by the Gimbe Foundation.
The same occurs with hospitalized patients (+ 30%): it is true that there are currently 1,380 -and this is a figure that still requires caution- but we are still a long way from that April 4, when they were 29,010.
Currently, therefore, you have to be cautious but not scared: The situation is still under control, regardless of what some percentages suggest.
