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The regional elections in Liguria do not seem destined to hold surprises. Outgoing President Giovanni’s Advantage All on main opponent Ferruccio Sansa, the unitary candidate of Pd, M5S (and other political forces), very clear: the difference of more than 22 points seems difficult to fill. Despite the presence of up to ten candidates for the presidency of the region, today’s survey shows that the competition is limited to Toti (credited by 57.4%) and Sansa (34.8%). Following the candidate of Italia Viva, + Europa and Pvu Aristide Massardo with 2.5%, at the same level as Alice Salvatore the former candidate of the M5 to the previous regionals, supported by the Il Buonsenso list. All other candidates are estimated to be below 1%. Voter turnout is estimated to be 62%, significantly higher than the previous regional and European elections in 2019.
The decision to favor a unitary candidate by the Democratic Party and the 5 Stars was exhausting and fueled quite a few setbacks within the two political forces. On paper, the election looked promising, given that the sum of the votes obtained in 2015 by the center-left candidate Paita (27.8%) and those of Salvatore (24.8%), was significantly higher than the result of Toti who it was affirmed with 34.4%. But politics is almost never made up of arithmetic sums of past results, and in the current campaign Toti’s opponents must grapple with a positive assessment of the administration expressed by 62% of Ligurians. Furthermore, unlike what we have recorded in previous surveys carried out in Marche and Puglia, the majority (43%) expect that the work of the next administration will be in continuity with that of the current one, while 39% think otherwise. . Toti can also count on personal satisfaction (52%) much higher than that of Sansa (27%), whose reputation is more limited (57%) than that of the outgoing president (92%). a hobby that goes back to various aspects, from the ability to dialogue with different social segments to the way the health emergency was approached and, last but not least, to the management of the tragic history of the Morandi Bridge and the construction of the new bridge that in Liguria (and not only) has assumed a symbolic value of great importance.
Regarding the voting guidelines of the lists, the League with 21.1% precedes Toti’s list, Cambiamo, which stands at 19.8%. They are followed by: Pd (16%), M5S (9.7%), Fratelli d’Italia (9.4%), Lista Sansa (6.5%) and Forza Italia (6.3). Compared to the results obtained in Europeans, the center-right with 57.1% of the votes is much stronger, thanks to the contribution of Cambiamo and the growth of Fratelli d’Italia. The divided vote seems to penalize Sansa more, who obtains 1.8% fewer lists that support her, than Toti, who registers only 0.3% more of her own lists. Toti’s more than likely declaration would represent the first confirmation of a center-right junta at the head of Liguria.
September 2, 2020 (change September 2, 2020 | 23:57)
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