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There is a risk that the government has not calculated: reopening in the dark in the country as of Monday 18. The now famous algorithm that decrees which territories are at risk COVID-19 and they may be sentenced to return to the most rigorous blockade, it cannot be applied because the Regions have not yet communicated all the data necessary to measure the progress of the epidemic. Based on those analyzes, it is also necessary to decide how and what activities to authorize, whether to restart stores, restaurants and transfers, but the data is missing. And so the so-called “report cards” that the Ministry of Health must prepare on the basis of 21 indicators that had been meticulously listed in Hope’s decree cannot be produced.
However, at the same time, the government has already announced that from Monday they will be able to re-roll the blinds, bars and restaurants, hairdressers and barbers, retail stores and bathing establishments. A chaos that Palazzo Chigi had not foreseen and that is putting the executive on fibrillation. It is no coincidence that the usual Friday press conference of the Higher Institute of Health was canceled today. Why? There are no risk parameters divided by territory.
THOROUGHLY
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To whom is attributed the origin of this chaos was written in a letter, seen by The messenger – signed by Roberto Speranza and Francesco Boccia. “There are, write the ministers of Health and Regional Affairs, signs of criticality in the availability of data that measure the size of the recovery capacity of the health services in charge in the event of a resurgence of the Covid-19 epidemic that in the current week is not completely evaluable, given the difficulty in the information circuit between the central level, the Regions and the autonomous provinces ».
Bottom line: Many governors last night had not yet submitted the health plan for their territory in case the virus curve increased. The other day, an executive from the Ministry of Health explained: “The 21 indicators are demanding because the Regions must guarantee daily flows, not always easy to obtain by the prevention departments.” Sometimes the IT platform that processes this data is missing.
That is why three days after the great return to the (almost) normal life of Italy, from the point of view of mobility and trade, the government scheme is still lacking with the announced territorial differences based on the required requirements. The letter was sent to Stefano Bonaccini, Governor of Emilia-Romagna, as President of the State-Regions Conference. With a recommendation to send to fellow governors to “take appropriate action to quickly complete the implementation of the data as requested.”
The regions in default last night were different: from Piedmont to Sicily, passing through Campania and Calabria. Without this material, theoretically, the government cannot authorize Monday’s reopens, despite having announced them. Therefore, there is the risk, on the one hand, of a dark (dangerous) debut and, on the other, the reaction of all the sectors that are already projected on Monday. But there is more: the 21 indicators represent an alarm system that is triggered if any region sees the epidemic restart and, therefore, the blockade in that territory becomes necessary.
We must keep our guard up because if you consult the Civil Protection Board issued yesterday, there are indicators that indicate that the effect of the first days of Phase 2 is not yet clear: we have returned to almost a thousand infections (992) of which half in Lombardy. Signs that should prompt the government to “differentiated openings based on the algorithm we will establish Thursday to put governors in a position to decide what and how to open,” they said in recent days from Palazzo Chigi. But the possibility of carrying out the verification is precisely lacking, because a part of the data considered “fundamental” has not yet been sent to Rome. At night, many Regions have been regularized, but the report card is not yet there.
Then I left blindly and the Scientific Technical Committee (CTS) took note of it yesterday during the daily meeting. For now, the reopening machine, scientists explain, has already started and cannot be stopped, under pain of a popular uprising. Therefore, they did not raise any exceptions to the government that will decide on the modalities of the second round of reopens during the weekend. But CTS men do not intend to relinquish their role as vigilantes of the health situation, as they have done so far. The contagion curve is increasing, not homogeneously, but in a leopard spot, and last night, during the talks, more than one would have signaled a new risk outbreak in Molise. Therefore, there will be constant monitoring that will continue in the next two weeks, with an already identified deadline: Thursday 28 compared to the other reopens on June 1, including possible changes between regions, which many expect. That day, the CTS and the ISS will make the “coupon” as they say, of the situation, with widespread recognition of the various areas and areas. This will mean that if the R0 index were to rise above the 0.4-0.5 safety level, only the areas that have become new outbreaks would be closed. Also yesterday in cts He would be in charge of the summer camps, as there are many requests, but they would have excluded advising to reopen them.
Last update: 00:38
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