“Any intrinsically incorrect estimate. The truth about the contagion curve” – ​​Libero Quotidiano



[ad_1]

A freezing shower, signed Ilaria Capua, about the pandemic and coronavirus. The virologist, in an intervention on the Corriere della Sera, highlights how so far each forecast has been incorrect: how can we therefore be sure that the prospects are better, as civil protection and the government have been saying for days? “There are many, many things that we don’t know and about which many are amazed and, unfortunately, science has very long times to reach its relative certainties. A sea of ​​uncertainty surrounds us. and it confuses us We don’t even know how much the infection has circulated and spread in Italy because the samples are not representative and the procedures are not harmonized. so each estimate is only an estimate and, as such, inherently incorrect – you just have to understand how much, “he explains clearly and emphatically.

Therefore, Capua prophesies a very long coexistence with Covid-19 and the risk of contagion, which could grow again: “We know that physical distancing and personal and public hygiene measures help flatten the curve and therefore slow down the infection. But a flatter curve does not mean blocking viral spread, it means reducing viral circulation. Therefore, it is clear that the virus will continue to circulate visibly, that is, causing clinical cases until it does. establish the immunity of the herd, natural or vaccinated. “

In short, poor prospects on all fronts. Medications included: “We know that there are several innovative medications and therapeutic protocols that allow us to refine the cure, but I really don’t think marketing is coming soon in pharmacies, but will be used for hospitalized patients. “The virologist finally insists on the need to be very careful:” It is about adapting what we know about the prevention of Covid-19 to our daily life to avoid ending up in the hospital ourselves themselves and make sure our loved ones don’t end there, “he concludes.



[ad_2]