Coronavirus Germany, infection rate increases: cold shower on restart



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He suffers a setback, in fact he does one step back the way of Germany outside the Coronavirus tunnel. As the debate and controversy over the pace of reopening intensifies, the contagion rate, the R0 call that defines the number of people infected by each Covid-19 patient, who has returned in the last two days very close to the threshold of 1: To be exact, 1 yesterday, 0.96 today, after dropping to 0.7 two weeks ago. The Robert Koch Institut (RKI) announced this in its daily report on the state of the pandemic, which in Germany exceeded 160,000 cases of infection and 6,000 deaths.

From a statistical point of view, it means that the course of the epidemic remains constant, with an almost identical number of healed and newly infected or dead. A worrying fact that reinforces the position of those who, at the head, the Chancellor Angela Merkel and the RKI experts, fight for greater caution in the plans for the progressive elimination of restrictive measures for society and the economy, in contrast to the pressures for acceleration from the Laender.

According to some experts, It would have been the effect of announcing the reopening of small stores and schools that began last Monday, accompanied by the good weather of the last days, to loosen the discipline of the population. and bringing many more people to the streets, with the result of increasing the chances of contagion. People must stay as long as possible in their home if we want to defend our common successes, warned the director of the Koch Institute, Lothar Wieler, underlining the positive result of 119 thousand recovered.

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Even the chancellor intervened and insisted that it is essential to bring R0 below 1 in a stable and sustainable way, if you want to win the coronavirus.. But the debate on reopening is unfolding no less than in Italy. Complicating it is the fact that the German federal system, providential in the first phase when modulating measures according to the severity of the Land by Land situation, makes coordination in the restart phase difficult, producing differences and asymmetries that they are also problematic for the ‘economy. The heart of the problem was centered, with the usual intellectual honesty, by the Speaker of the Parliament and the former Minister of Finance, Wolfgang Schaeuble, according to which it was absolutely incorrect to subordinate everything to the protection of human life, since the main value anchored in the German Constitution it was the dignity of the people, defined as untouchable. And this, according to Schaeuble, does not exclude that we must die. In any case, in what appeared to be an indirect criticism of the chancellor, the President of the Bundestag warned not to leave decisions entirely to virologists, but to take into account all the economic, social and psychological implications.

One of the first to agree with Schaeuble was the Prime Minister of North Rhine-Westphalia, Armin Laschet, one of the contenders to succeed Angela Merkel and leader of regional leaders who want an accelerated return to normality. In the meantime Health Minister Jens Spahn asked Laender, the head of the health system, to reduce the percentage of intensive care settings reserved for patients with Covid-19 in hospitals from 50% to 25%. The pandemic trend, according to Spahn, allows starting from May to reuse part of those beds for other types of surgery, which were actually suspended for the past month.

April 28, 2020 (change April 28, 2020 | 3:04 pm)

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