2020 U.S. elections, whoever wins: the international impact will be minimal

While analysts await the results of the Presidential election Americans, we focus on forecasts about changes in the priorities, approaches, and interests of US foreign policy. The international situation and the different scenarios do not leave much room for political maneuver.

Globally, the challenges posed by the COVID-19 they are the priority. For the United States, the economic conflict with China will not be easy to address and resolve in the short term as tensions are high, particularly around Chinese influence in Europe and the Mediterranean.

A strategic node is represented by the industry of telecommunications with the ambitious initiative Belt and Road which aims to revive the historic trade route of the Silk Road and travel from China to Central Asia and Europe, with broader programs to reach Africa as well.

the international tensions create a cold war atmosphere and this situation is unlikely to change regardless of who occupies the White House over the next few years. Against this background, it is difficult to predict any real change in the impact of US foreign policy in the short term. Economic pragmatism will continue to be the reason for the reshaping of global policies with more competition and confrontation.

If we move to the Middle East, it is interesting to analyze that US policy onIran, based on countering Iranian influence in Iraq, Syria, Lebanon and Gaza, has been aggressive and persistent. This strategy aimed to exploit the internal weaknesses in the structure of the Iranian system, based on Economic sanctions. This situation will also be difficult to reverse in the short term, even with a possible Biden administration.

The same applies to the process of Arab-Israeli peaceRegardless of who is in the White House, as the achievement of peace agreements between the Arab countries and Israel will always be promoted as a success in the Middle East.

Although there are different visions and approaches to true peace between Israeli-Palestinian relations, what counts on the ground for American politics today is the idea of ​​reaching peace agreements and expanding the pool of allies to serve the greater cause: to manage and limitChinese expansion. In practice, the more countries that join this circle of peace, the fewer Palestinians will have the leverage to force changes on the ground, in policy, or even in tactical engagement.

To stay in the Middle East, you also have to consider the situation in Syria me Lebanon. This chessboard, its events, and the international repercussions that flow from it have always been a real obstacle to American pragmatism. At this time, however, the Israelis also prefer to maintain current conditions to maintain a tactical advantage that has never been achieved before.

Another regional actor, the Turkey, you can face new realities. As a member of NATO on the borders of Europe, any political action that directs yours politics ExteriorFrom the absence of conflict with neighbors to diametrically opposed situations, it may not be sustainable in the future.

It may not be that difficult for analysts to predict what changes the world will see after the next US election. Some will argue that political solutions, particularly with Iran, have more possibilities under the president. Joe bidenbut they must not forget that many countries, including Iran, will have to deal more carefully with issues related to human rights and civil and personal liberties, under a US administration.

Supports ilfattoquotidiano.it: I never eat right now
we need you.

In these weeks of pandemic, journalists, if we do our job conscientiously, we do a public service. Also for this reason, every day here at ilfattoquotidiano.it we are proud to offer hundreds of new content for free to all citizens: news, exclusive insights, interviews with experts, surveys, videos and much more. All this work, however, comes at great financial cost. Advertising, at a time when the economy is stagnant, offers limited income. Not in line with the access boom. That is why I ask those who read these lines to support us. Give us a minimum contribution, equal to the price of a cappuccino per week, which is essential for our work.
Become a support user by clicking here.

Thank you
Peter gomez

THANK YOU FOR READING NOW XX ITEMS THIS MONTH.

But now we are the ones who need you. Because our work has a cost. We are proud to be able to offer hundreds of new content to all citizens for free every day. But advertising, at a time when the economy is stagnant, offers limited revenue. Not in line with the boom in access to ilfattoquotidiano.it. That is why I ask you to support us, with a minimum contribution, equal to the price of one cappuccino per week. A small but fundamental sum for our work. Give us a hand!
Become a support user!

With gratitude
Peter gomez

Support now