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Jakarta, CNN Indonesia –
Epidemiologist Griffith University’s Dicky Budiman Predicts Positive Case Trend corona virus (Covid-19) will continue to increase until the end of 2022.
According to Dicky, this could happen if the government did not reactivate the Covid-19 (3T) test trace treatment. Also, if the management of a pandemic only focuses on Covid-19 vaccination to achieve group immunity or group immunity.
“TO group immunity “It’s a long way to go, we don’t know how much protection the vaccine is, so if we don’t strengthen Q3, this escalation condition could last until the end of next year,” Dicky said when contacted. CNNIndonesia.com, Wednesday (1/20).
Dicky recalled that Covid-19 vaccination could only reduce morbidity and mortality, not reduce cases. As long as the management of the pandemic does not prioritize 3T and 3M, the cases will continue to increase.
“The vaccine only provides protection against getting seriously ill and prevents death, plus herd immunity is still a long time, maybe it will only be reached in 3-4 years,” said Dicky.
He also stressed that no one knows for sure when the Covid-19 pandemic will end. Along with the emergence of a new strain of Covid-19 in several countries.
Covid-19 mutations like those that occur in the UK can prolong the situation during a pandemic. Meanwhile, vaccines don’t necessarily provide strong protection if they have to fight off new types of Covid-19 mutations.
“Especially if there is a new type of Covid-19 virus, we cannot predict when the situation is under control,” he said.
Covid-19 cases in Indonesia reached 927,380 on Tuesday (1/19). In recent days, the peak of positive cases is high.
In the last week, the findings of positive cases in one day could be more than 10,000 cases. According to the graph on the Covid-19 Task Force website, the largest case finding occurred on January 16, with 14,224 cases. Finally, yesterday, January 19, 10,365 cases were found.
While cases continue to increase, the area of Corona’s red zone is also increasing. According to data from the Covid Working Group as of January 19, there are 108 municipalities in the red zone, out of 70 municipalities previously.
“For the first time, it has reached the same number as the initial risk zoning calculation made on May 31, 2020. The number of red zones has reached more than 100, that is, 108 districts of the city,” said Wiku Adisasmito, spokesperson for the Covid-19 Working Group.
(millions / wis)
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