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Jakarta, CNBC Indonesia – Australian Griffith University epidemiologist Dicky Budiman said the Covid-19 case in Java had the potential to “explode.”
Therefore, he said that Java must be prepared to carry out Large Scale Social Restrictions (PSBB) in total.
When talking about the Covid-19 case, many eyes only focus on DKI Jakarta as the capital city with high population density and mobility as the epicenter of the outbreak.
The trend of cases in DKI Jakarta continues to increase. This is reflected in the increase in daily cases that exceeded 2,000. The trend of increasing cases using indicators 7-day moving average it also indicates the same. Cases continued to rise, reaching an average of 1,500 cases per day over the past week.
However, it is actually not just DKI Jakarta that is worrying, but the entire island of Java. Due to the 700,000 accumulated cases of Covid-19 reported in the country, the island of Java contributed 57.9%.
If the trend of increasing daily cases nationwide has recently reached 6,000 – 7,000 cases, the contribution of increasing cases in the four largest provinces of the island of Java will reach more than 4,000 cases per day or equivalent to> 60% of the total daily cases.
Numbers positivity rate Dicky had also raised problems with height. Positivity Speed it is one of the epidemiological indicators that is used to indicate how many people identified as positive for Covid-19 compared to the total tests performed.
Current numbers positivity rate in Indonesia it has touched 20%. In simple terms, this means that for every 100 people who are tested for Covid-19, there are 20 people who test positive for Covid-19.
Numbers positivity rate Touching the two-digit level indicates at least two things. The first is that the outbreak is uncontrollable and the second also shows that the evidence is less representative.
The recognized test for the calculation of Covid-19 cases in Indonesia uses two methods, namely PCR swabs and rapid molecular tests (TCM) for certain areas.
Every day, the target number of people who are tested is 30 thousand people, so in a week there should be 270 thousand people tested with these two methods.
However, the tests often do not meet the objective. Fluctuations and inconsistencies in the collected samples cast doubt on the quality of the Covid-19 data. Although data have an important role in the formulation of epidemic control policies.
This is a serious concern for the nation’s physicians, public health experts, and epidemiologists.
Lack of tests performed and laxity contact tracking Coupled with violations of 3M’s health protocol by the public, actual daily Covid-19 cases could be higher than is currently being reported.
though tests and tracking Humans are the basic things that are absolutely necessary during this pandemic. When other countries, such as the UK, use the Corona virus genomic surveillance approach to find new variants of the pathogen that causes Covid-19, Indonesia continues to struggle with a reduced number of tests.
Although the Christmas and New Year holidays (Nataru) were interrupted by the government, this did not become an obstacle for people to travel out of town. It was noted that there was a large exodus leaving the toll road heading to Jakarta this Christmas.
As a prelude to the possibility of high public interest in the holidays, the government has provided certain locations for rapid testing for Covid-19 in various locations, such as airports and toll road rest areas, especially for people entering. and they leave the capital.
The government has also limited the hours of operation of retail stores, shopping malls, and entertainment venues to prevent large crowds from building up for a long period of time so that the spread of Covid-19 can increase.
