Two extreme schemes that can happen in the 2024 presidential elections

JAKARTA – Indo Barometer CEO Muhammad Qodari believes that the political dynamics in 2021 after the completion of the 2020 simultaneous regional elections will be safe. Because he said, in 2021 there will be no major political event like the 2020 simultaneous regional elections.

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He said, referring to Law (UU) Number 10 of 2016 regarding the Election of Governors, Regents and Mayors, in 2021, 2022 and 2023, there will be no Pilkada. He said that the full simultaneous Pilkada only took place in November 2024 after the April elections of the same year.

“So there will be no regional elections in 2022 and 2023 if you look at the existing regulations in Law Number 10 of 2016. This means there will be no governor elections in strategic areas such as DKI Jakarta, West Java, Central Java and East Java,” he said Qodari in response to the moderator’s question on political dynamics in 2021 at the Indonesian Foreign Policy Community (FPCI) webinar entitled ‘Indonesia Economic and Political Outlook 2021’, Thursday (12/17/2020).

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However, he continued, it is possible that in 2021 there will be discussions about the revision of the Pilkada and the General Electoral Laws by the DPR, where the topics to be discussed include the possibility of holding another Pilkada in 2022 and 2023.

“Particularly for medium and small parties, but in my opinion big parties like the PDIP, then Gerindra and Golkar can reject it,” he said.

He said that the rejection of the three parties was on the condition that they already have a plan or agreement on a political design for the next presidential elections in 2024. “What is the political design, there are several possibilities, including extreme or extraordinary possibilities,” said.