Why Cyclone Burevi will not be as strong as Cyclone Nivar


Written by Anjali Marar, edited by Explained Desk | Pune |

Updated: December 2, 2020 5:35:36 pm





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Later this week, another cyclone will skim the coast of Tamil Nadu, but this time its southernmost tip. This is the third cyclone to form in the last 10 days in both the Arabian Sea and the Bay of Bengal. The Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) warned of heavy rains in Tamil Nadu and Kerala until December 5.

Cyclone Burevi: Will Kerala and Tamil Nadu receive heavy rains?

Seven days after Cyclone Nivar hit the Karaikal coast, another cyclone, Burevi, named for the Maldives, is expected to cross the southernmost Kanyakumari district of Tamil Nadu later this week.

At 8.30 am on Wednesday, the cyclone was located 200 km east of Trincomalee in Sri Lanka, 420 km east-southeast of Pamban and 600 km east-northeast of Kanyakumari in Tamil Nadu.

Under the influence of this cyclone, heavy to extremely heavy rains (over 204mm) are forecast in Tamil Nadu and Kerala through December 5.

When will Cyclone Burevi hit the coast of Tamil Nadu?

The cyclone is expected to intensify Wednesday night. As a cyclonic storm, Burevi is expected to first cross the Sri Lankan coast near Trincomalee sometime during the afternoon or tonight (December 2). Thereafter, you will trace a track to the west-northwest, reaching the Gulf of Mannar and getting a little closer to the southern tip of the Indian mainland.

The Met department has forecast that Burevi will cross between Kanyakumari and Pamban as a cyclonic storm (wind speed of 78 to 80 km / h, with gusts of 100 km / h) during the afternoon hours of Friday.

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Will Cyclone Burevi be as strong as Cyclone Nivar?

Developed in the Bay of Bengal, cyclone Nivar, very severe, with winds of 89 to 117 km / h, struck near Karaikal on November 25.

Unstable sea conditions in the southwestern region of the Bay of Bengal continue due to the recent Nivar crossing. The general conditions of the sea are still disturbed today.

That is why forecasters say there is a high possibility that Cyclone Burevi will not strengthen beyond the intensity of a cyclonic storm.

“Due to the upwelling caused by Nivar, cyclone Burevi will have limited intensity,” said an IMD official.

When these consecutive systems develop in the same region of the ocean, the predecessor system leads to upwelling, the process in which colder waters from the lower ocean surfaces are pushed to the upper ocean surfaces.

In the absence of warm conditions on the sea surface, any cyclone, in this case Burevi, will not get enough fuel to further intensify while at sea.

The IMD has indicated that Burevi will remain a cyclonic storm (wind speed 62 to 88 km / h) until December 5, before it weakens into a deep depression. 📣 Follow Express explained on Telegram

What areas will be affected by Cyclone Burevi?

Heavy to very heavy rains (64 to 204 mm) are forecast in Kanyakumari, Tirunelveli, Thoothukudi, Tenkasi, Ramanathapuram and Sivagangai districts of Tamil Nadu, and Thirvananthapuram, Kollam, Pathanamthitta, Alappuzha of Kerala, mainly on 2 and 3 of December.

Extremely heavy rains (more than 204mm) are expected in isolated parts of these districts on Thursday.

The northern districts of Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, Lakshadweep and the southern coast of Andhra Pradesh will receive heavy rains through Saturday.

Strong winds with speeds ranging from 45 to 55 km / h, with gusts of up to 65 km / h, will be experienced on Wednesday off the coasts of Tamil Nadu and Kerala.

By Thursday, winds with speeds of 70 to 80 km / h, with gusts of 90 km / hr, will blow over these southern districts, as the cyclone crosses towards land.

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