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NEW DELHI: AIIMS director Dr. Randeep Guleria said Thursday that if the Covid-19 Hot spots If properly managed, India may witness a “dull peak”.
“It means that we will not have a huge peak as seen in the West. The peak may be flatter with cases that will subsequently decrease in the coming weeks, “said Dr. Guleria.
The United States and the United Kingdom, where new COVID-19 cases are on the decline, she had witnessed a sharp spike with more than 10,000 cases reported daily. India has so far witnessed 3,600 new cases in a single day.
The AIIMS director said aggressive action at hotspots and community involvement can help limit the increase in cases from 3,000 to 4,000 alone.
“There have been many predictions based on mathematical models. Some of them suggested that the peak could come in late April. They were proved wrong. Some studies suggested that the peak would come in May. It seems highly unlikely now. Similarly, some studies suggested that the spike could occur in June-July. I don’t know if that would also be true, “he added.
According to Dr. Guleria, the modeling data to predict the Covid-19 peak often does not account for variables.
“Due to the blockade, growth in the number of Covid-19 cases has been slow. Also, most new cases are being logged from access points. If handled properly, we can see a dull peak, “the AIIMS director told TOI.
He was clarifying his comments to a news agency that seemed to suggest that the peak could come in June and July in India, raising concerns among the public. It was also one of the most popular topics on social media.
Dr. Guleria said that the number of Covid-19 patients requiring ICU support in India is about one percent of all cases, which is very low. “In some ways we are fighting the disease in a much better way compared to the affected population in other countries,” he added.
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