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Measures imposed at critical points or areas of high localized transmission are key elements of the government’s strategy to break the highly infectious coronavirus transmission chain. Authorities said that although the measures were working, laxity could slow the clock.
“We have seen an average growth factor of 1.2 since April 1. Between March 15 and March 31, the growth factor was 2.1. This means that there is a 40% decrease in the average growth factor of Covid-19, ”said Lav Agarwal, undersecretary of the ministry of health.
The recovery rate is also increasing, indicating that more patients are winning the battle against the disease, while the death rate remains low. As on Thursday, Kerala recorded maximum recoveries (245), followed by Telangana (186) and Tamil Nadu (180). Maharashtra and Rajasthan recorded 164 recoveries each. Delhi’s recovery rate has been low. Only 51 (3%) of 1,640 Covid-19 positive patients had recovered on Thursday, although the large increase in their cases, due to the Tablighi Jamaat outbreak, came to light in the third week of March.
Two southern states appeared on the way to flatten the Covid-19 curve with new daily cases in Kerala falling to single digits in the past week and the number of people graduating from hospitals in Tamil Nadu exceeding admissions.
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Kerala has reported only 32 new cases from April 11-17, while 129 patients have recovered from the infection during this period. The total number of cases reported so far is 395. However, not so long ago, health officials feared that this number would be 500 in mid-April.
Recovery is slower in Covid-19 patients who have other comorbidities like diabetes or pre-existing health problems. Also, sometimes, even when the person tested negative for the virus, tests must be repeated to reaffirm the findings before discharge, “said a senior doctor.
As on Thursday, the recovery rate was 10.6%, or 1,437, of the 13,541 cases. It was 13.06% on Friday. The decrease in the growth rate becomes important because the government has gradually expanded the tests, leading to more samples being analyzed since April 1, compared to previous ones.
Agarwal added that 19 states and Union territories, including Kerala, Tamil Nadu, Delhi, Uttarakhand, Odisha, Bihar, Haryana and Ladakh, had a doubling rate lower than the country’s average. “To further reduce the doubling rate, we must be more vigilant,” he said.
Also, the ratio of Covid-19 results, the ratio of recoveries and deaths, is 80:20. Agarwal said India’s performance ratio was higher than that of several other countries. On Friday, the health ministry recorded 13,835 confirmed cases and 452 deaths. Of the total confirmed cases, 1,766 were cured and discharged. However, new cases continued to rise with more than 1,000 additions and 23 deaths reported in the past 24 hours. Active cases were 11,616.
On Friday, the 12th meeting of the Group of Ministers (GoM) on Covid-19 discussed the impact of the prolonged blockade. “The GoM discussed the creation of new fast and accurate diagnoses that can give results in 30 minutes; increased testing capacity through 30 laboratories; developing innovative clustering strategies to increase the number of people that can be tested and locally synthesized for critical components that limit the production of national test kits; and an increase in viral sequence, which can aid in epidemiology and identify potentially important mutations, “said Agarwal.
India has made progress in indigenous synthesis of multiple promising antiviral molecules such as Umifenovir, Favipiravir. Phytopharmaceuticals and cables from traditional medical systems were also being explored in parallel with the AYUSH ministry, the health ministry said.
