New Delhi: A government-appointed panel said Sunday that the initial lockdown saved a large number of lives and avoided creating widespread panic.
The ‘Covid-19 India National Supermodel’ committee led by Professor M Vidyasagar (IIT Hyderabad) made the finding in their study titled ‘Progression of the Covid-19 Pandemic in India: Forecast and Lockdown Impacts’.
On June 1, the Department of Science and Technology formed a committee comprised of eminent scientists and academics to develop a national supermodel for the progression of Covid-19.
These are the most important findings of the study:
- If all protocols are followed, the pandemic can be brought under control early next year with minimal active symptomatic infections by the end of February.
- The upcoming festival and winter season can increase susceptibility to infections. Relaxation in protective measures can lead to a significant increase, up to 26 lakh of infections in a month.
- The pandemic has reached its peak, but only if sufficient protective measures continue.
- 30% of the population is expected to have antibodies today, up from 14% at the end of August.
- Cumulative mortality is expected to be less than 0.04% of all infected.
- All activities can be resumed as long as proper security protocols are followed.
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