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The fastest to reach the 75,000 mark of the 50,000th case was the United States, which took just 2 days. Spain and France took 3 and 4 days respectively. Russia, Germany, Italy and the United Kingdom took 5 days for the same jump, while Brazil took 6.
On the current trajectory, India would hit the grim 100,000 mark by Tuesday. The death toll in India has crossed the 2,500 mark, and is double what it was at the end of April.
This week, Russia overtook Spain as the second most affected country after a sudden exponential outbreak since the end of April. However, it has one of the lowest death rates among major countries, with 2,200 deaths from more than 240,000 cases. Meanwhile, the United States remains the epicenter of the pandemic, with more than 1.3 million confirmed cases and more than 82,000 deaths. The UK has the second-worst figure, with 33,000 deaths as of Wednesday. Worldwide, the case count has now crossed 4.3 million, with nearly 300,000 deaths.
India’s death rate at 3.2% (or 3.2 deaths per 100 confirmed cases) is the 13th highest among the top 15 countries with more than 50,000 cases. Belgium has had the highest mortality rate (15%) among these countries, while Russia has had the lowest mortality rate (1%) so far.
Among states, Tamil Nadu, which appeared to be close to doubling its curve earlier this month, has seen its 7-day average rise from 1,879 to 5,352 over the past week, outpacing Gujarat in second position after Maharashtra. Until Thursday morning, Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu and Gujarat had the highest number of active cases. Among states with more than 5,000 cases, doubling rates (based on 7-day moving averages) are highest for Tamil Nadu (5 days), Maharashtra (11 days), and Gujarat (15 days).
Seven-day moving averages help smooth volatility and daily reports, and are useful for measuring trends over time. Only active cases (excluding deaths and recoveries) have been considered for analysis at the state level.
Kerala was one of the first states in India to have flattened its curve, and has managed to keep the case count low in recent weeks. Tamil Nadu, which seemed to be reducing the number of active cases, has seen a spike in infections. Karnataka, Rajasthan and Andhra Pradesh may be close to doubling their crown curves, the analysis suggests.
Maharashtra (975 deaths) leads the number of greedy-related deaths so far, followed by Gujarat (566). Madhya Pradesh (232 deaths), West Bengal (207), Rajasthan (121) are other high mortality states.
The top five states account for 82 percent of deaths across the country. Among the ten states with the highest number of active cases, death rates are highest in West Bengal (15%), Madhya Pradesh (12%), and Gujarat (11%).
The main subways in India are still hotbeds of the virus. Mumbai only reported 15,699 confirmed cases and 596 deaths as of Wednesday night. Even other major urban centers in Maharashtra like Thane (3,065) continue to be among the most affected cities in the country.
Delhi with 7,998 confirmed cases, Ahmedabad with 6,787 cases, Chennai with 6,323 cases and Pune with 3,301 cases are the other critical points so far. The top five cities together account for 51 percent of confirmed cases and 54 percent of deaths nationwide.
The fifteen major cities together account for 62 percent of confirmed cases and 69 percent of deaths nationwide. Data for all cities has been aggregated from district case data compiled by howindialives.com, as of Wednesday night.
Last week, confirmed cases in Chennai rose nearly threefold to 6,323, the fastest increase among the top 15 cities by population. Nagpur also saw a huge jump in cases in the seven days through Wednesday, with cases nearly doubling to more than 317. Bengaluru, Kanpur and Lucknow have relatively fewer cases compared to other meters at the moment.
The Mint Covid Tracker runs every week in the print edition. For daily tracker updates, visit https://www.livemint.com/topic/mint-covid-tracker
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