On the current trajectory, India’s crown case count will likely reach 75,000 in five days



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So far this week, the number of cases has increased by 32 percent (between Monday morning and Friday morning). This is a faster rate of increase compared to the previous four days, when confirmed cases increased by 28 percent.

Although the trajectory of the Indian coronavirus has decreased since last month, it continues to be more pronounced compared to its Asian peers such as Japan and Singapore. The rise in infections in India is now faster than in neighboring Bangladesh and Pakistan.

Compared to western nations where the virus has claimed more lives, the trajectories of most Asian countries, including India, have been flatter. However, with the decline in new infections, the worst may have happened for several European countries. In many Asian countries, new infections continue to rise.

India’s case count is now roughly double what it was eleven days ago. This is much slower compared to early April, when cases doubled every four days. Deaths have also seen a slower increase compared to the trend in early April, but have picked up the pace over the past week. The number of fatalities in India from covid-19 as of today was 1,886, roughly double what it was ten days ago.

At the current rate of compound daily growth, the number of cases would increase to 75,000 in five days. If this trajectory continues beyond that period, it could overload India’s hospital capacity and strain an already overloaded health system.

At 13,979, Maharashtra leads in terms of the number of active cases, according to the health ministry update this morning. Active cases exclude deaths and recoveries from the list of confirmed cases.

Gujarat has the second highest number of active cases (4,878), followed by Delhi (3,983). With 3,825 active cases, Tamil Nadu has the fourth highest number of active cases, followed by Madhya Pradesh (1,828). Tamil Nadu had dropped out of the top five list, but a recent increase in new infections has put him back in the top five. The top five states together account for 75 percent of active cases nationwide, and the top ten states account for 94 percent of all cases.

Nationwide, the active case count was 37,916 as of today morning. It’s still the first few days and the statewide distribution could change in the coming days. Evidence across states has been uneven, and as evidence increases, more cases may emerge in states where reported cases have so far been low.

Source: MoHFW
Source: MoHFW

In the past seven days, Punjab, Tamil Nadu and Maharashtra have seen the highest peak in cases among the top ten states with the most cases. These three states account for 75 percent of all new active cases in this period. During the same period, deaths have increased the most in West Bengal, Gujarat and Rajasthan. These three states account for 50 percent of all covid-related deaths in the past seven days.

In the past two days, the districts of Mumbai, Ahmedabad, Chennai, Thane and Ariyalur (Tamil Nadu) have seen the largest increase in nationally confirmed cases. These five districts account for 58 percent of new cases during this period, according to data collected by howindialives.com the night before. Other districts that have seen a sharp increase in the past two days include Viluppuram and Thiruvallur in Tamil Nadu and Nashik in Maharashtra.

Source: NDMA
Source: NDMA

So far, 512 districts have confirmed cases in the country. Mumbai (11,402 cases) has reported the highest number of cases nationwide among all districts, followed by Ahmedabad (4,991) in Gujarat. Chennai (2,653) in Tamil Nadu, Pune (2,269) in Maharashtra, and Thane (1,889) in Maharashtra are the other main districts. These top five districts now account for 42 percent of confirmed cases in the country.

Indore (1,699) in Madhya Pradesh, New Delhi (1,458), Jaipur (1,097) in Rajasthan, Jodhpur (867) in Rajasthan, and Kolkata (810) in West Bengal are the top-ranking districts on the top list. ten districts The top ten districts account for 53 percent of confirmed cases nationwide.

Most of India’s hot spots so far have been wealthy urban districts, with wealthier states more affected than the rest.

The coronavirus case count has crossed 3.8 million worldwide, even as various parts of the country and the world remain blocked to contain the pandemic.

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