“SAGE says they were all susceptible and only 7% have been infected. I think this is literally amazing. They have ignored all the precedents in the field of immunological memory against respiratory viruses. They have not seen or ignored the excellent quality work of numerous world leading clinical immunologists showing that around 30% of the population had prior immunity. “
“They should also have excluded from ‘susceptible’ a large subset of younger children, who appear not to be infected, probably because their immature biology means that their cells express less of the spike protein receptor, called ACE2. I have not assumed that all young children do not participate in the transmission, but I think that a value of two thirds is very conservative. It’s not material anyway, “Yeadon wrote.
“So SAGE is demonstrably wrong on a really crucial variable: they did not assume prior immunity, while the evidence clearly points to a value of around 30% (and almost 40% if you include some young children, who are technically ‘resistant ‘instead of’ immune ‘), ”Yeadon wrote.
And considering the reality of herd immunity, when susceptibility to a virus drops so low, around 28 to 35%, “that population can no longer support an expanding disease outbreak” and therefore the virus “declines. and disappears. “
“The pandemic is effectively over and can be easily managed by a properly functioning NHS (National Health Service). Accordingly, the country must be allowed to return immediately to normal life. “Yeadon concludes
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