By-elections in 28 assembly constituencies in Madhya Pradesh after a political storm in March appear to be a watershed moment for politics in the central state of India.
More than who can stay in power, the outcome will shape the political futures of many stalwarts like the seasoned Kamal Nath, Prime Minister Shivraj Singh Chouhan, and new BJP entrant Jyotiraditya Scindia, whose future stature is based solely on performance. of his loyalists in Gwalior. Chambal region.
For Kamal Nath, at 73, this could be one last blow to power before entering the political decline after an illustrious career as a parliamentarian for more than four decades. Having lost power in just 15 months, Nath will be eager to return to power to complete his term as prime minister.
However, given the numbers accumulated in the assembly, it almost seems like a Herculean task since the Congress with 87 MLA needs the 28 victories or at least 20 more victories to be able to woo old allies.
Meanwhile, after the recent disintegration of the great party, it seems almost an almost impossible task for the veteran of Congress. The result of the bypoll could also define the amount of voice with which Nath would stay in the game in the future.
Also for the Congress party, a defeat could lead to a further rebellion that further affects the impoverished state unit after 25 MLAs left in March and the following months. However, for BJP, the stakes are also very high.
Prime Minister Shivraj Singh Chouhan, who had an undeniable career in power for 13 years before agreeing to defeat to veteran Kamal Nath in 2018, the bypoll wins and staying in power are key to his political future.
With his former detractors like Uma Bharti and Kailash Vijayvargiya remaining active in MP politics, a loss could beset Chouhan immensely in his own party, especially after the entry of Jyotiraditya Scindia, who had few names to match his political stature in the State BJP.
Furthermore, the by-elections are also the first major test for the BJP head of state, VD Sharma, an RSS man who was recruited into the state BJP despite his inexperience in electoral politics. To add, Sharma is a first-time MP from Khajuraho.
To say the least, the by-elections are a life and death battle for the scion of the Scindia family, Jyotiraditya Scindia, who had taken a massive leap in March this year, leaving Congress and embracing the saffron party, putting a lot of in Game.
With 16 of her closest assistants in the fray in Gwalior-Chambal, Scindia hopes to score maximum victories for her assistants to start on a high note in the Bharatiya Janata Party. As political analysts believe, a grim spectacle could seriously affect Scindia’s newfound influence on the MP BJP unit.
However, for Shivraj and company and many senior leaders in BJP who hail from the Gwalior-Chambal region, a brilliant show for Scindia in the by-elections will not be very good news for them.
Although exit polls suggest an empathetic victory for BJP, unease prevails in both camps before having both sides accusing each other of participating in the horse trade. To add, they both predict a resounding victory.
Shivraj Minister Arvind Singh Bhaduaria, the main architect of the March coup, told News18 on Monday that the BJP government with 107 MLAs and the support of seven others, including independents, two BSPs and one SP MLA, is already a majority. . The BJP is also in constant contact with these seven MLAs and also with some congressmen.
Supporters of the BJP renegade-congressional candidate Govind Singh Rajput have put up congratulatory posters at Surkhi in Sagar, but the Rajput has pretended to ignore these messages. In addition to several in the fray, including Suwasra’s BJP candidate and Minister Hardeep Singh Dang, are getting involved in bid to earn victory blessings.
In addition to the fate of 12 non-MLA ministers and two others who have resigned, it also depends on the outcome of the vote. “If we win a single seat, our tally is 115, which is a clear majority in the chamber of 229, as there are no by-elections in a single seat,” Bhadauria said.
By contrast, former congressional minister Sajjan Singh Verma predicted a landslide victory for his party. They are serving notices to MLA like Jitu Patwari and Alok Chaturvedi and destroyed the properties of Computer Baba and MLA Arif Masood, suggesting that they (BJP) are not sure of their victory, Verma added.
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