Project that analyzes data points to millions of cases, 12,800 deaths by November 12
Karnataka You are likely to have one million covid cases by November 12, a covid data projection from the Jeevan Raksha project revealed. It has also been projected that deaths in the state may reach 12,800 during the same time.
Mysore Sanjeev, coordinator of Jeevan Raksha, said Bangalore Reflect that the 12 mega states of India, including Karnataka, collectively accounted for more than 70 percent of total covid cases and 77 percent of covid deaths in India. After Maharashtra (19.7 percent), Karnataka has the second highest test positivity rate (TPR) of 11.6 percent among mega states. Surprisingly, the TPR has not been reduced for more than 10 weeks. This indicates that the virus was spreading faster and more widely in the state. Based on the current trend, Karnataka’s covid cases are likely to increase by 35-40% and exceed one million.
“The expected increase in covid cases in the state will have a cascading effect that will lead to an increase in demand for critical medical infrastructure, which has already spread beyond its threshold level. According to Proxima’s Critical Medical Infrastructure resource planning module, Karnataka could require 22,500 oxygen beds, 16,800 ICU beds and 11,200 ventilators over the next three to six weeks. The government needs to examine available resources and improve preparedness soon, ”he added.
He said that 40 percent of all Karnataka cases were in Bengaluru Urban. Bangalore Urban now has more positive cases than Mumbai. And Bengaluru Urban has the maximum number of active cases among all the districts in India. Bengaluru has 8 percent of the total active cases in India. Based on the current trend, the number of cases in Bengaluru Urban is likely to increase to 4.2 lakh by 12 November. To cope with the increase in cases, Bengaluru Urban could only require 13,000 oxygen beds, 10,000 ICU beds and 6,500 ventilators in the next four to six weeks. “There are two challenges in this situation for BBMP: mobilizing this critical medical infrastructure requires time and financial resources, and second, assuming BBMP succeeds in doing so, the next challenge would be to mobilize competent and trained medical professionals with the necessary experience to deal with critically ill patients, ”he said.
.
