October 7, 2020 2:12:23 pm
The entrance to a municipal hospital is fumigated after a Covid-19 testing session, in Mumbai on October 6, 2020 (Express photo: Amit Chakravarty).
Coronavirus numbers in India: For 15 of the past 20 days, daily recoveries in India have remained higher than the detection of new cases of coronavirus infections, a development that has significantly eased the burden of the disease in the past three weeks.
Active cases have dropped by more than one lakh in the last three weeks.
Daily Increase in Covid-19 Cases in India.
Just over 72,000 new cases were detected Tuesday, while more than 82,000 people were reported to have recovered from the disease. The recent, rather inexplicable trend of declining new cases continued, which has seen daily counts drop from 90,000 to 70,000. Tuesday’s daily new case count hit a new low for the past three weeks, aside from Mondays, when the numbers decline by a large margin due to Sunday’s low tests.
The slowdown is evident in almost every state except Kerala, Karnataka and Chhattisgarh, the three states with the fastest growing number of cases at this time. Karnataka and Kerala have contributed the highest number of cases in the last week, after Maharashtra.
Kerala’s growth rate remains the fastest in the country at the moment, growing at 3.78% per day, when the national growth rate has fallen to less than 1.2%. On Tuesday, the state added nearly 8,000 new cases. More than 60 percent of Kerala’s current cases of 2.42 lakh have been added in the last month.
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Because the surge in Kerala has occurred, it also has a large number of active cases, almost 88,000. Only Maharashtra has more active cases. In fact, more than 36 percent of Kerala cases are active right now, the highest in the country. Chhattisgarh has the second highest number, with 22% of its total number of active cases. Nationwide, active cases now make up about 13% of the number of cases, while recoveries account for more than 85%. In Maharashtra, active cases account for approximately 17% of the number of cases.
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Top 10 states with the maximum load of Covid-19 cases.
In at least six states, active cases now represent less than 10 percent of the total number of cases. These include high case load states such as Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu, Delhi and Bihar. It means that more than 90 percent of the people infected with the virus in these states have recovered. Punjab and Haryana also fall into this category.
But this is not an irreversible process. Active cases would increase if there is an increase in new infections in any state. Several states have seen large fluctuations in their active cases, most notably in Delhi, where active cases dropped to nearly 10,000 before increasing to more than 40,000.
As on Tuesday, more than 67.5 lakh people had been infected with the virus in the country, of which more than 57.4 lakh, or 85 percent, had recovered from the disease. The death toll has risen to 1.04 lakh, with the addition of 986 deaths on Tuesday.
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