Although India and China have agreed to stop sending more troops to the Ladakh front line, New Delhi is prepared for a long series of multiple rounds of diplomatic and military talks before a firm political understanding is reached between the two sides on the total disconnection.
“This will be a lengthy process and it will be reckless to assume that results will be achieved in one or two rounds of talks. While both sides agreed in principle not to send more troops to the border, there is no way for both sides to verify this on the ground, as neither side would like to share the information collected through communications interceptions and space intelligence. ”Said a senior official.
As of now, there is no change of situation on the ground with the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) troops still on the mountain spur of finger four on North Pangong Tso Lake and the Indian Army dominating the Rezang La ridge line. Rechin La on the Line of Royal Control (LAC). There has been no change in the situation in the Gogra-Hot Springs sector, as the PLA has linked the withdrawal there with the withdrawal of Pangong Tso.
Chinese observers believe that the Ladakh situation will require a series of dialogues before an understanding develops between the two sides on how to keep LAC quiet after the PLA’s May intrusions in the western sector. Given the continuous improvement of infrastructure in Chinese-occupied Aksai Chin and Arunachal Pradesh, the PLA’s ability to rapidly deploy to LAC is better than that of the Indian Army. This means that until a broader political understanding is achieved, the Indian Army will have to be on alert throughout LAC, as the PLA cannot be allowed to take advantage again.
In addition to Ladakh, there has been an accumulation of PLA in deep areas of Arunachal with focus around Nyingchi, as the latter will soon be connected to Lhasa by rail. The Chinese are also building a railway from Shigatse or Xigaze to Yatong or Yadong in the Chumbi Valley, which will put pressure on the Indian Siliguri corridor. The upgrade in Tibet and Xinjiang is not only designed to put pressure on India, but largely to consolidate Han Chinese control over these sensitive areas as part of the Communist Party’s synchization program.
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