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The statement came even as the country registered up to 1,593 cases and 68 deaths on Friday, bringing the total count to 24,344 and the number of victims to 776.
The government said the disease has been controlled and that the positive impact of the restrictions will be visible in the next few days on the growth trajectory, before the blockade is lifted.
“Our analysis shows that the blockade has helped reduce the duplication rate of covid-19, saved lives and prevented harm to the nation,” said Dr. VK Paul, member of the NITI Aayog government expert group and group chairman. empowered 1 for Covid’s response He added that instead of around 23,000 cases in India today, the number could have been around 100,000 if it wasn’t for the shutdown.
Undoubtedly, India’s testing rate at 384 per 100,000 population is among the lowest in the world.
The government said it verified the spread of the virus, increased testing and improved preparedness during the blockade. Surveillance had also played an important role.
“The public has also brought about a massive behavioral change in this period. After the curfew and Janata blockade, we had already created an environment of social estrangement by setting travel restrictions, “said Paul.
According to the National Center for Disease Control (NCDC), about 945,000 people are currently under surveillance on suspicion of coronavirus infection. “Due to the blockade, the government could keep the infected population away from the susceptible population for which there has been a stabilization in the growth of covid-19 cases,” said Dr. Sujeet Singh, director of NCDC.
According to the Ministry of Health, as of Friday, 15 districts that previously had cases had not reported any coronavirus infection in the last 28 days and, therefore, have been declared green areas.
Three new districts added to this list on Friday are Durg and Rajnandgaon in Chhattisgarh, and Shivpuri in Madhya Pradesh. Another 80 districts in 23 states and UT have not reported any new cases in the past 14 days. The government also said 4,748 people have recovered from covid-19, bringing the recovery rate to 20.57% for India.
“Our testing strategy has withstood the test of time and the volume of testing has been adequate and the proportion of positive cases has not increased despite the fact that the test has increased in multiples. There shouldn’t be any hidden spikes in the cases and the disease is under control, “said Paul.
Mahendra K. Verma, professor in the physics department at the Indian Institute of Technology (IIT) Kanpur, said: “The daily count for the past five days, between 924 and 2013, shows significant fluctuations. This is due to new tests being The daily death count also shows a similar trend. New daily cases should decrease for the curve to flatten. The data does not currently show such signs. “
“The six meters have a lot of cases. Mumbai and Delhi are fighting. The confinement of infected and suspected individuals may be a key factor in the near future for which further testing will be required, “he said.
Public health experts said a careful removal of the blockade will help reduce the number of cases.
Dr. Anita Arora, director of medical operations at Fortis Healthcare, said that while the numbers may not show improvement, morbidity rather than mortality is a concern. “What remains to be seen will be what happens if and when we ‘get out’ of the blockade. A sudden and complete exit will definitely be disastrous,” Arora said.
Union Health Minister Harsh Vardhan interacted with state health ministers and health secretaries on Friday via video to review preparedness and action taken. He urged states to focus on surveillance, early case identification, and appropriate clinical management to ensure that patients receive timely treatment.
