Nitish Kumar is expected to lose, according to exit polls.
Exit Polls Bihar 2020 vs 2015: The exit polls have tarnished the spirit of the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) led by Chief Minister Nitish Kumar in Bihar. Most polls have shown an advantage for Mahagathbandhan led by Tejashwi Yadav. Some have even predicted an overwhelming majority for the Mahagathbandhan. In light of the exit poll results, is the game up for Nitish Kumar? This is a question that political experts may be contemplating from now on.
During the campaign, Nitish Kumar had surprised his followers that this was his last choice. If the exit poll results are true, this could be the end of Nitish Kumar’s career in Bihar politics if he chooses not to compete in the future. But all may not be over yet for Bihar’s prime minister, certainly not until tomorrow’s vote count. Bihar is a difficult state for pollsters to understand. That is why your predictions have failed in the past. In 2015, pollsters had predicted a huge victory for the BJP, but the real winners were their opponents: JDU, RJD, and Congress. And it won’t be a surprise if pollsters get it wrong again tomorrow.
Bihar 2015 exit poll result: what the 2015 exit poll said
In 2015, several exit polls had predicted a clear victory for the BJP-led NDA.
Today’s 24-Chanakya News predicted 155 seats for NDA and 83 for Mahagathbandhan.
ABP News – Nielsen predicted 108 seats for NDA and 130 seats for Mahagathbandhan.
NDTV-Hansa predicted 125 seats for NDA and 110 for Mahagathbandhan.
Times Now C-Voter predicted 101-121 seats for NDA and 112-132 for Mahagathbandhan.
India Today-Cicero predicted 113-127 for NDA and 111-123 seats for Mahagathbandhan.
News Nation predicted 117 seats for NDA and 122 for Mahagathbandhan.
X-CNX news predicted 93 seats for NDA and 132 for Mahagathbandhan.
CNN-IBN-Axis predicted 64 seats for NDA and 130 for Mahagathbandhan.
The actual number, after counting, for the NDA was 58 and 178 for Mahagathbandhan.
In 2015, three polls had predicted a clear victory for the NDA. Only the Axis poll had made the correct prediction, but it was not aired. Apart from Axis, none of the polls had predicted a landslide for Mahagathbandhan.
Experience from 2015 shows that exit polls can, and do, go wrong. So it will come as no surprise that something different from the survey predictions in Bihar will happen tomorrow.
Bihar 2020 exit polls result: what the exit polls have said in 2020
Surveys leaving India Today-Axis My India: BJP + JDU (NDA): 69-91 seats. RJD + Congress (Mahagathbandhan): 139-161 seats. LJP: 3-5 seats. Others: 3-5 seats
Dainik Bhaskar Exit Polls: BJP + JDU (NDA): 120-127 seats. RJD + Congress (Mahagathbandhan): 71-81 seats. LJP: 12-23 seats. Others: 19-27 seats
Surveys leaving India Today-Axis My India: BJP + JDU (NDA): 8 with 39 percent of votes. RJD + Congress (Mahagathbandhan): 23 with 45% participation in the vote. Others: 0
Today’s Chanakya Exit Polls: BJP + JDU (NDA): 55 (+/- 11). RJD + Congress (Mahagathbandhan): 180 (+/- 11). Others: 8 (+/- 4)
Republic Jan Ki Baat Exit Polls: BJP + JDU (NDA): 91-117. RJD + Congress (Mahagathbandhan): 118-138. LJP: 05-08. Others: 3-06
Times Now C voter exit polls: BJP + JDU (NDA): 116. RJD + Congress (Mahagathbandhan): 120. LJP: 1. Others: 6
9 Bharat Varsh TV Exit Poll Results: BJP JDU (NDA): 110-120. RJD Congress (Mahagathbandhan): 115-125. LJP: 03-05. Others: 10-15
Only in exit polls has a clear victory been predicted for the NDA.
All eyes will now be on tomorrow for the actual results of the survey.
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